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Odds board — our UFC simulation against the market

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev

OCTOBER 24, 2026 · 12 BOUTS · 2 CALLS · LINES 40 MINUTES AGO
CHAMPIONSHIP · TITLE-DISTANCE DISAGREEMENT · $100

Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

over Nikita Krylov · Light Heavyweight

Ends by submission 38%  ·  SEE THE FIGHT →

YAKHYAEV'S FAIR ODDS LAST 6 DAYS
BOUTSCOUT -502 THE MARKET -421 -300 -400 -567 6D AGO 3D NOW
MONEY MOVING OUR WAY ▼ 28¢ SINCE OPEN BEST AT BetOnline -475
83%
BOUTSCOUT
% TO WIN
81%
20 BOOKS
% TO WIN
+13
GAP
CHAMPIONSHIP · TITLE-DISTANCE DISAGREEMENT · $100

Grant Dawson

over Nurullo Aliev · Lightweight

Ends by decision 46%  ·  SEE THE FIGHT →

DAWSON'S FAIR ODDS LAST 6 DAYS
BOUTSCOUT -149 THE MARKET -107 -100 6D AGO 3D NOW
LINE DRIFTING AGAINST US ▲ 6¢ SINCE OPEN BEST AT BetOnline -110
60%
BOUTSCOUT
% TO WIN
52%
21 BOOKS
% TO WIN
+15
GAP
NO CALL · 10 BOUTS  ·  BOUTSCOUT / BOOK
— / 18

UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit

NOVEMBER 14, 2026 · 2 BOUTS · 1 CALL · LINES 40 MINUTES AGO
CHAMPIONSHIP · TITLE-DISTANCE DISAGREEMENT · $100

Josh Hokit

over Ciryl Gane · Heavyweight

Ends by decision 44%  ·  SEE THE FIGHT →

HOKIT'S FAIR ODDS LAST 6 DAYS
BOUTSCOUT +122 THE MARKET +224 +233 +150 -100 6D AGO 3D NOW
LINE STEADY BEST AT Betfair +220
45%
BOUTSCOUT
% TO WIN
31%
17 BOOKS
% TO WIN
+11
GAP
NO CALL · 1 BOUT  ·  BOUTSCOUT / BOOK

UFC 335: Oliveira vs. Lopes

DECEMBER 12, 2026 · 1 BOUT · LINES 40 MINUTES AGO
NO CALL · 1 BOUT  ·  BOUTSCOUT / BOOK
TIER RECORD
CHAMPIONSHIP 2–1 +$16 · 2 live
TIER 3 0–2 −$400
TIER 2 3–5 −$8
TIER 1 5–6 −$274
FULL RECORD →
HOW TO READ THE BOARD
SIMULATE ANY FIGHT →

Our number comes from 10,000 seeded simulations per bout, built only from what's in our database. It never sees a betting line. The book's number is every book's moneyline with the vig stripped out. A call fires when the two split far enough on the same fighter, and the size of the split sets the tier.

Our line on each chart is level because the simulation does not chase a price — it only moves when the fighter data does. The market's line is every price we have captured for that bout.

Board rebuilt 16:15 UTC · 21 Oct.

Off-card bookings (33)
Farida Abdueva vs Charles Oliveira
— / 45
·
Khamzat Chimaev vs Robbie Lawler
— / 92
·
Bella Mir vs Chase Hooper
— / 88
·
Patrick Downey vs Magomed Magomedkerimov
— / 68
·
Jake Woodley vs Zayne Havener
— / 70
·
Lone'er Kavanagh vs Ramazonbek Temirov
— / 49
·
Nicolle Caliari vs Iasmin Lucindo
— / 24
·
Igor Michaliszyn vs Tomasz Romanowski
— / 57
·
Mateusz Pawlik vs Madars Fleminas
— / 36
·
Marcin Held vs Valeriu Mircea
— / 50
·
Steven Krt vs Oskar Szczepaniak
— / 32
·
Sasha Moisa vs Wojciech Kawa
— / 61
·
Bo Nickal vs Joseph Pyfer
— / 36
·
Sergey Pavlovich vs Alex Pereira
— / 64
·
Manel Kape vs Joshua Van
— / 53
·
Josh Hokit vs Alex Pereira
— / 60
·
Justin Gaethje vs Arman Tsarukyan
— / 21
·
Justin Gaethje vs Ilia Topuria
— / 31
·
Valentina Shevchenko vs Natalia Silva
— / 52
·
Conor McGregor vs Jorge Masvidal
— / 57
·
Alexandre Pantoja vs Joshua Van
— / 54
·
Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane
— / 56
·
Khamzat Chimaev vs Paulo Henrique Costa
— / 80
·
Sean Strickland vs Khamzat Chimaev
— / 35
·
Max Holloway vs Paddy Pimblett
— / 62
·
Sean Strickland vs Nassourdine Imavov
— / 52
·
Natalia Silva vs Alexa Grasso
— / 72
·
Islam Makhachev vs Carlos Prates
— / 67
·
Islam Makhachev vs Michael Morales
— / 65
·
Islam Makhachev vs Kamaru Usman
— / 78
·
Paddy Pimblett vs Conor McGregor
— / 60
·
Magomed Ankalaev vs Carlos Ulberg
— / 62
·
Magomed Ankalaev vs Jiri Prochazka
— / 65
·