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Welterweight

Myktybek Orolbai

15-2-1 UFC 5-2-0
Smothering Control Chain Wrestling
5'10"Height
74"Reach
OrthodoxStance
28Age
1KO wins
2Sub wins
60.0%Finish rate
10:25Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 against every UFC veteran · the rim is reserved for specialists, and only efficiency opens it
Striking — Below avg, rated 43.0 of 100 Accuracy — Above avg, rated 80.4 of 100 Striking D — Average, rated 58.3 of 100 Durability — Average, rated 68.4 of 100 Wrestling — Strong, rated 88.6 of 100 TD Defense — Weak, rated 23.7 of 100 Grappling — Average, rated 45.0 of 100 Control — Strong, rated 88.6 of 100 Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC 330 · August 12, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs Vallejos · March 8, 2026 watch ↗
grappling solid
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • solid UFC 330 · August 12, 2026 watch ↗
  • very good UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs Vallejos · March 8, 2026 watch ↗
wrestling very good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • very good UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs Vallejos · March 8, 2026 watch ↗
cardio not yet read
durability good
1 analyst read graded this phase
striking good 2 reads
grappling solid 2 reads
wrestling very good 1 read
cardio not yet read
durability good 1 read

Built on 72 minutes of tracked cage time across 7 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Smothering Control 54% of every fight spent in control position
Chain Wrestling 40 takedowns from 67 attempts · 8.2 landed per 15 min
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min2.7
Sig. strikes absorbed / min2.49
Striking accuracy52.3%
Striking defense52.6%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.41
Takedowns / 15 min8.22
Takedown accuracy59.7%
Takedown defense36.4%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.41
Control time53.9%
Record vs .500+ opponents4-2

Insider info

2 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
Myktybek Orolbai favored over Jeremiah Wells coinflip UFC 330 · August 12, 2026
strikinggood grapplingsolid durabilitygood wrestlingvery good

Named as the pick, but by his own description only just, and he flags that his lean may be an artefact of rating the opponent too highly.

A pressure fighter who wins by being harder to discourage than the man across from him. The striking is built on long straight punches with enough power behind them, but the defining trait is that he keeps walking forward and absorbs what comes back. His grappling is a different species from his opponent's: rather than hunting a finish, he chains takedowns, fastens onto a body lock, and returns the man to the mat every time he stands, taking whatever ground strikes or submissions open up along the way. The bet he makes every fight is that he will still be working when the other man is not.

Strengthlong straight punches with real power
Strengthdurable and difficult to discourage
Strengthrelentless forward pressure
Strengthchains takedowns and locks onto the body lock
Strengthconstant mat returns once he has a hold
Strengthmixes ground strikes with submission attempts opportunistically
Weaknessgrinding style depends on sustained output rather than a finishing sequence
chin · durablepace · high volume
Myktybek Orolbai favored over Chris Curtis clear UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs Vallejos · March 8, 2026 · 1 read since
strikinggood grapplingvery good wrestlingvery good

Expects Curtis to get outworked over the course of the fight and picks Orolbai to win by out-pointing him on the cards.

Orolbai is a good striker with long, straight punches and enough power to be respected, and he's durable on top of that. His bigger strength is the grappling, chaining takedowns together off a strong body lock and returning the fight to the mat repeatedly whenever an opponent scrambles up. He grinds wherever the fight is, whether that's on the floor or against the cage, and smoothly blends ground-and-pound with submission attempts rather than committing fully to one or the other.

Strengthlong, straight power punching
Strengthdurability
Strengthchained takedowns and body lock
Strengthgrinding control against the cage or on the mat
Strengthfluid mix of ground-and-pound and submissions
pace · grinder

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 7 fights · green = win
November 18, 2023 vs Uros Medic — 0.87/min (W) Nov '23 May 4, 2024 vs Elves Brener — 4.33/min (W) May '24 October 26, 2024 vs Mateusz Rebecki — 4.07/min (L) Oct '24 June 21, 2025 vs Tofiq Musayev — 0.44/min (W) — only 4.6 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jun '25 November 22, 2025 vs Jack Hermansson — 5.42/min (W) — only 2.8 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Nov '25 March 14, 2026 vs Chris Curtis — 1.33/min (W) Mar '26 August 15, 2026 vs Jeremiah Wells — 2.28/min (L) Aug '26

Fight history

7 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Jeremiah Wells 13-4-1 walk-in Submission · R3 1:24 — UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · August 15, 2026
26/35Sig. strikes
16/45Absorbed
4/6Takedowns
6:20Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Chris Curtis 32-11 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · March 14, 2026
20/28Sig. strikes
12/31Absorbed
19/24Takedowns
12:33Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Jack Hermansson 24-9 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 2:46 — UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · November 22, 2025
15/33Sig. strikes
19/38Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Tofiq Musayev 20-5 walk-in Submission · R1 4:35 — UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · June 21, 2025
2/7Sig. strikes
2/6Absorbed
3/5Takedowns
3:40Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Mateusz Rebecki 19-2 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · October 26, 2024
61/135Sig. strikes
71/146Absorbed
2/5Takedowns
2:05Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Elves Brener 3-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · May 4, 2024
65/119Sig. strikes
48/91Absorbed
5/17Takedowns
7:12Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Uros Medic 9-1 walk-in Submission · R2 4:12 — UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · November 18, 2023
8/20Sig. strikes
14/27Absorbed
7/10Takedowns
7:26Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
15-2-1Pro record
Team Uluu Kyrgyz, Team Alpha MaleGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 6
Submission 6
Decision 3
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 2
Other 0

Draws: 1

Fights by organization

UFC 6
LFA 3
WEF Selection 2
WEF ProfFight 2
Sulukta FC 1
Open FC 1
ACA Young Eagles 1
Road Fighting Championship Russia 1

+ 1 more organizations in the full career list

Full career — 18 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
W Chris Curtis Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
March 14, 2026
UFC 3 5:00
W Jack Hermansson KO (punch) UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
November 22, 2025
UFC 1 2:46
W Tofiq Musayev Submission (kimura) UFC on ABC: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
June 21, 2025
UFC 1 4:35
L Mateusz Rębecki Decision (split) UFC 308
October 26, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
W Elves Brener Decision (unanimous) UFC 301
May 4, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
W Uroš Medić Submission (neck crank) UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
November 18, 2023
UFC 2 4:12
W Hayward Charles KO (punch) LFA 170
October 27, 2023
LFA 2 0:41
W Gláucio Eliziário TKO (punches) LFA 164
August 4, 2023
LFA 2 1:33
W Jalin Fuller Decision (unanimous) LFA 131
May 6, 2022
LFA 3 5:00
W Kaldyadis Taalaybek Uulu TKO (retirement) Sulukta FC: Fight Night Grand Prix
November 26, 2021
Sulukta FC 4 4:00
W Peyman Haciev TKO (punches) Open FC 8
August 14, 2021
Open FC 1 2:30
L Khalid Satuev Decision (unanimous) ACA Young Eagles 15
December 19, 2020
ACA Young Eagles 3 5:00
W Shamil Mutalimov TKO (punches) Road Fighting Championship Russia 6
June 22, 2019
Road Fighting Championship Russia 1 3:37
W Farukh Kodirov Submission (rear-naked choke) WEF Selection 22
March 10, 2019
WEF Selection 1 1:04
D Fakhreddin Myrzadavlatov Draw (unanimous) WEF Selection 20
January 20, 2019
WEF Selection 5 5:00
W Saidal Khazmuradov Submission (rear-naked choke) Professional Fighters League Kyrgyzstan 1
November 25, 2018
Professional Fighters League Kyrgyzstan 1 2:15
W Shakhzod Kholmatov Submission (rear-naked choke) WEF ProfFight 27
September 20, 2018
WEF ProfFight 1 3:10
W Eldiyar Toobaev Submission (rear-naked choke) WEF ProfFight 25
August 12, 2018
WEF ProfFight 1 3:41

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Myktybek Orolbai) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 190 qualified Welterweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 2.7 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 2.5 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 52.3% avg 45.1%
Striking defense 52.6% avg 55.2%
Takedowns /15 min 8.2 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 59.7% avg 40.2%
Takedown defense 36.4% avg 62.5%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.4 avg 0.6
Control time 53.9% avg 21.4%
Finish rate 60.0% avg 54.1%