BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Myktybek Orolbai vs.
Chris Curtis

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-1-0 Myktybek Orolbai · UFC
6-5-0 (1 NC) Chris Curtis · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-1-0
UFC record
6-5-0 (1 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
28.5
AgeΔ 10.6 yrs
39.1
5'10"
HeightΔ 0"
5'10"
74"
ReachΔ 1"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
4.8
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
4.8
WWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Myktybek Orolbai hunts takedowns — 8.77 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Myktybek Orolbai owns the mat — in control 54% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Chris Curtis rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Myktybek Orolbai

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 51
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 30
Tier 3 — regional circuit 71

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.54 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Chris Curtis

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 87
Tier 3 — regional circuit 245

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.86 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1712.78/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
8485.39/min · norm 3.25
1662.70/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
9105.79/min · norm 3.20
50.0%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
49.3%norm 47.4%
51.0%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
53.8%norm 53.8%
20.49/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
30.29/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Myktybek Orolbai

Distance 76.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 2.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 21.3% (norm 8.1%)

Chris Curtis

Distance 95.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 4.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 1.0% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Myktybek Orolbai

Head 82.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 8.2% (norm 8.4%)

Chris Curtis

Head 78.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 18.1% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 3.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Orolbai L/AAccWelterweight med Curtis L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 114 / 262 43.5% 38.6% 780 / 1635 47.7% 40.5%
In the clinch 6 / 7 too few to rate 67.8% 55 / 68 80.9% 70.3%
On the ground 51 / 73 69.9% 67.2% 13 / 17 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 128 / 283 45.2% 37.2% 578 / 1357 42.6% 38.9%
To the body 22 / 31 71.0% 70.7% 225 / 312 72.1% 71.7%
To the legs 21 / 28 75.0% 82.9% 45 / 51 88.2% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Orolbai L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Curtis L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 122 / 285 42.8% 39.0% 845 / 1865 45.3% 39.5%
In the clinch 19 / 25 76.0% 68.9% 45 / 76 59.2% 70.9%
On the ground 25 / 29 86.2% 68.0% 20 / 29 69.0% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 101 / 258 39.1% 35.6% 570 / 1548 36.8% 37.9%
To the body 34 / 46 73.9% 69.6% 173 / 238 72.7% 71.3%
To the legs 31 / 35 88.6% 82.1% 167 / 184 90.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3659.0% acc · 8.77/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.42
440.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
5364.6% def · norm 63.1%
32:5953.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
3:062.0% of cage time · norm 19.75%
5:391:22 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
26:362:32 per 15 · norm 3:00
20.49/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Curtis has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.