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Welterweight · “Handz of Steel”

Geoff Neal

16-8-0 UFC 8-6-0
One-Punch Power Takedown-Proof Forward Pressure Finisher Hittable
5'11"Height
75"Reach
SouthpawStance
36Age
5KO wins
1Sub wins
75.0%Finish rate
9:49Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 against every UFC veteran · the rim is reserved for specialists, and only efficiency opens it
Striking — Strong, rated 87.4 of 100 Accuracy — Above avg, rated 80.0 of 100 Striking D — Weak, rated 12.5 of 100 Durability — Below avg, rated 29.2 of 100 Wrestling — Weak, rated 19.1 of 100 TD Defense — Elite, rated 96.8 of 100 Grappling — Below avg, rated 29.6 of 100 Control — Below avg, rated 37.3 of 100 Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs Hernandez · February 14, 2026 watch ↗
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 1 read
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
One-Punch Power 8 knockdowns · 0.87 per 15 min
Takedown-Proof 26 of 29 takedowns stuffed
Forward Pressure 5.0 landed and 5.6 absorbed per minute — he turns fights into firefights
Finisher 75% of wins by knockout or submission (5 KO, 1 sub)
Hittable absorbs 5.6 significant strikes per minute
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min5.0
Sig. strikes absorbed / min5.56
Striking accuracy50.7%
Striking defense57.0%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.87
Takedowns / 15 min0.55
Takedown accuracy45.5%
Takedown defense89.7%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.11
Control time14.5%
Record vs .500+ opponents6-6

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
Geoff Neal favored over Uros Medic clear UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs Hernandez · February 14, 2026
strikinggood

He's banking on the level of competition Neal's been facing to be the deciding factor, expecting the step down in opposition to snap his skid with a finish.

Neal remains a well-rounded striker with real power, steady volume, the ability to counter, fast hands, and a head kick that catches people off guard. He's on a bit of a rough streak, but the analyst points out he's been in competitive fights against much tougher opposition than what he's facing here, which is the whole case for him getting back on track. The expectation is a finish inside the first round.

Strengthpower and volume striking
Strengthtight combinations
Strengthcounter-striking ability
Strengthfast hands
Strengthsneaky head kick
Weaknesson a recent losing skid
ko power · yesfinish window · early

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
May 8, 2021 vs Neil Magny — 2.33/min (L) May '21 December 11, 2021 vs Santiago Ponzinibbio — 5.67/min (W) Dec '21 August 6, 2022 vs Vicente Luque — 10.07/min (W) Aug '22 March 4, 2023 vs Shavkat Rakhmonov — 4.83/min (L) Mar '23 February 17, 2024 vs Ian Machado Garry — 3.07/min (L) Feb '24 October 26, 2024 vs Rafael Dos Anjos — 12.0/min (W) — only 1.5 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Oct '24 August 16, 2025 vs Carlos Prates — 5.02/min (L) — only 5.0 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Aug '25 February 21, 2026 vs Uros Medic — 2.28/min (L) — only 1.3 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Feb '26

Fight history

14 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Uros Medic 12-3 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:19 — UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · February 21, 2026
3/10Sig. strikes
10/19Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Carlos Prates 21-7 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:59 — UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · August 16, 2025
25/49Sig. strikes
32/60Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:15Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Rafael Dos Anjos 31-16 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:30 — UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · October 26, 2024
18/30Sig. strikes
4/13Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
0:27Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Ian Machado Garry 13-0 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · February 17, 2024
46/89Sig. strikes
67/135Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
3:45Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Shavkat Rakhmonov 16-0 walk-in Submission · R3 4:17 — UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · March 4, 2023
69/145Sig. strikes
113/179Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
1:12Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Vicente Luque 21-8-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 2:01 — UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · August 6, 2022
121/211Sig. strikes
97/203Absorbed
1/3Takedowns
0:47Control
2Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Santiago Ponzinibbio 26-4 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · December 11, 2021
85/161Sig. strikes
91/229Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:03Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Neil Magny 24-8 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · May 8, 2021
35/73Sig. strikes
55/174Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
3:50Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Stephen Thompson 15-4-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R5 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · December 19, 2020
85/179Sig. strikes
171/406Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
3:46Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Mike Perry 13-5 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:30 — UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · December 14, 2019
15/23Sig. strikes
5/10Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Niko Price 13-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 2:39 — UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · July 27, 2019
41/61Sig. strikes
24/57Absorbed
2/4Takedowns
3:37Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Belal Muhammad 14-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · January 19, 2019
71/190Sig. strikes
63/204Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:56Control
2Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Frank Camacho 21-6 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 1:23 — UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · September 8, 2018
59/102Sig. strikes
25/57Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:08Control
2Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Brian Camozzi 7-4 walk-in Submission · R1 2:48 — UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · February 18, 2018
14/31Sig. strikes
7/29Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
1:07Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
16-8-0Pro record
Fortis MMAGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 10
Submission 2
Decision 4
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 3
Submission 2
Decision 3
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 14
Xtreme Knockout 3
Legacy FC 2
Dana White's Contender Series 1
LFA 1
Rumble Time Promotions 1
24/7 Entertainment 1
Blood & Glory 1
Full career — 24 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Uroš Medić KO (punches) UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
February 21, 2026
UFC 1 1:19
L Carlos Prates KO (spinning back elbow) UFC 319
August 16, 2025
UFC 1 4:59
W Rafael dos Anjos TKO (knee injury) UFC 308
October 26, 2024
UFC 1 1:30
L Ian Machado Garry Decision (split) UFC 298
February 17, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
L Shavkat Rakhmonov Submission (rear-naked choke) UFC 285
March 4, 2023
UFC 3 4:17
W Vicente Luque KO (punches) UFC on ESPN: Santos vs. Hill
August 6, 2022
UFC 3 2:01
W Santiago Ponzinibbio Decision (split) UFC 269
December 11, 2021
UFC 3 5:00
L Neil Magny Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Rodriguez vs. Waterson
May 8, 2021
UFC 3 5:00
L Stephen Thompson Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal
December 19, 2020
UFC 5 5:00
W Mike Perry TKO (head kick and punches) UFC 245
December 14, 2019
UFC 1 1:30
W Niko Price TKO (punches) UFC 240
July 27, 2019
UFC 2 2:39
W Belal Muhammad Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
January 19, 2019
UFC 3 5:00
W Frank Camacho KO (head kick) UFC 228
September 8, 2018
UFC 2 1:23
W Brian Camozzi Submission (rear-naked choke) UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Medeiros
February 18, 2018
UFC 1 2:48
W Chase Waldon TKO (punches) Dana White's Contender Series 3
July 25, 2017
Dana White's Contender Series 1 1:56
W Bilal Williams TKO (punches) LFA 16
July 14, 2017
LFA 1 4:43
L Kevin Holland TKO (punches) Xtreme Knockout 34
January 28, 2017
Xtreme Knockout 3 3:50
W Ty Flores TKO (punches) Rumble Time Promotions: Rage
October 23, 2015
Rumble Time Promotions 1 3:58
W Charlie Ontiveros TKO (retirement) Legacy FC 37
November 14, 2014
Legacy FC 2 5:00
W Christopher Anthony Decision (unanimous) Legacy FC 32
June 20, 2014
Legacy FC 3 5:00
W Armando Servin Decision (unanimous) Xtreme Knockout 19
August 17, 2013
Xtreme Knockout 3 3:00
L Martin Sano Submission (rear-naked choke) 24/7 Entertainment 9
April 19, 2013
24/7 Entertainment 3 1:25
W Zack Board TKO (punches) Xtreme Knockout 17
January 12, 2013
Xtreme Knockout 2 1:46
W David McAfee Submission (rear-naked choke) Blood & Glory 1
August 25, 2012
Blood & Glory 1 2:15

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Geoff Neal) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 190 qualified Welterweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 5.0 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 5.6 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 50.7% avg 45.1%
Striking defense 57.0% avg 55.2%
Takedowns /15 min 0.6 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 45.5% avg 40.2%
Takedown defense 89.7% avg 62.5%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.1 avg 0.6
Control time 14.5% avg 21.4%
Finish rate 75.0% avg 54.1%

Hero photo of Geoff Neal by MMAnytt · CC BY 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons