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Geoff Neal vs. Carlos Prates

UFC 8-6-0 vs. 7-1-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
8-6-0
UFC record
7-1-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
36
AgeΔ 3 yrs
33
5'11"
HeightΔ 2"
6'1"
75"
ReachΔ 3"
78"
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
7.9
Layoff (months)Δ 2.3 mo
5.6
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Carlos Prates carries real power — 2.32 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Geoff Neal carries real power — 0.87 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Carlos Prates rarely shoots — 0.19 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Geoff Neal

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 96
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 30
Tier 3 — regional circuit 42

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.07 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Carlos Prates

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 102
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 125

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.22 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +6.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6875.00/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
3394.38/min · norm 3.17
7645.56/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3374.35/min · norm 3.08
50.7%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
54.1%norm 44.75%
57.0%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
47.7%norm 55.25%
80.87/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
122.32/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Geoff Neal

Distance 86.9% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 8.0% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 5.1% (norm 8.1%)

Carlos Prates

Distance 93.1% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 1.0% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 5.9% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Geoff Neal

Head 90.5% (norm 78.3%) · Body 6.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.5% (norm 8.0%)

Carlos Prates

Head 72.1% (norm 78.3%) · Body 13.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.2% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Neal L/AAccWelterweight med Prates L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 566 / 1177 48.1% 38.5% 307 / 584 52.6% 38.5%
In the clinch 72 / 108 66.7% 67.8% 3 / 6 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 49 / 69 71.0% 67.0% 29 / 37 78.4% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 585 / 1225 47.8% 36.4% 203 / 452 44.9% 36.4%
To the body 58 / 82 70.7% 70.7% 61 / 86 70.9% 70.7%
To the legs 44 / 47 93.6% 83.0% 75 / 89 84.3% 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Neal L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Prates L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 684 / 1658 41.3% 39.1% 325 / 624 52.1% 39.1%
In the clinch 73 / 104 70.2% 68.9% 8 / 15 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 7 / 13 too few to rate 68.0% 4 / 5 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 477 / 1409 33.9% 35.6% 182 / 434 41.9% 35.6%
To the body 208 / 280 74.3% 69.6% 40 / 67 59.7% 69.6%
To the legs 79 / 86 91.9% 82.2% 115 / 143 80.4% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
545.5% acc · 0.55/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
1100.0% acc · 0.19/15 · norm 1.31
2689.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
3179.5% def · norm 63.9%
19:5514.5% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
3:474.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
7:280:48 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
11:222:12 per 15 · norm 3:15
10.11/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Neal has more cage time on record.