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Lightweight · “Fire”

Francis Marshall

4-3-0
Hard To Take Down Positional Grappler
5'9"Height
72"Reach
OrthodoxStance
27Age
1KO wins
1Sub wins
50.0%Finish rate
10:30Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 against every UFC veteran · the rim is reserved for specialists, and only efficiency opens it
Striking — Weak, rated 15.3 of 100 Accuracy — Weak, rated 1.5 of 100 Striking D — Average, rated 50.5 of 100 Durability — Average, rated 61.4 of 100 Wrestling — Average, rated 63.7 of 100 TD Defense — Strong, rated 89.0 of 100 Grappling — Average, rated 63.5 of 100 Control — Above avg, rated 78.1 of 100 Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Kavanagh · February 22, 2026 watch ↗
grappling good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Kavanagh · February 22, 2026 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Kavanagh · February 22, 2026 watch ↗
striking good 1 read
grappling good 1 read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability good 1 read

Built on 73 minutes of tracked cage time across 7 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Hard To Take Down strong td defense — rates 89 of 100 among UFC veterans
Positional Grappler above avg control — rates 78 of 100 among UFC veterans
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min2.34
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.14
Striking accuracy29.3%
Striking defense53.6%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.41
Takedowns / 15 min2.04
Takedown accuracy41.7%
Takedown defense88.9%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.61
Control time31.9%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-2

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
Francis Marshall favored over Erik Silva clear UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Kavanagh · February 22, 2026
strikinggood grapplinggood durabilitygood

Backs the better pure striker to keep the fight standing and win there, barring a careless gameplan.

Marshall is credited as the better pure striker in this matchup, using constant forward pressure and volume along with a knack for interrupting an opponent's combinations by countering mid-flurry, a trade he can make because of his durability even though his own defense isn't polished. He also brings enough grappling — a good double leg, functional top control, and solid scrambles — to avoid being an easy takedown target. He's favored to win this standing, with the main risk being if he strays from that plan and starts chasing takedowns of his own.

Strengthforward pressure and volume
Strengthcounters and interrupts opponents' combinations
Strengthdurable
Strengthgood double leg and scrambles
Weaknessnot the most technical striker
Weaknessleaky striking defense
pace · high

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 7 fights · green = win
December 3, 2022 vs Marcelo Rojo — 3.69/min (W) Dec '22 April 22, 2023 vs William Gomis — 1.0/min (L) Apr '23 August 12, 2023 vs Isaac Dulgarian — 0.42/min (L) — only 4.8 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Aug '23 August 24, 2024 vs Dennis Buzukja — 3.8/min (W) Aug '24 March 8, 2025 vs Mairon Santos — 2.6/min (L) Mar '25 February 28, 2026 vs Erik Silva — 1.21/min (W) — only 2.5 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Feb '26 April 25, 2026 vs Lucas Brennan — 2.2/min (W) Apr '26

Fight history

7 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Lucas Brennan 11-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · April 25, 2026
33/69Sig. strikes
9/36Absorbed
2/3Takedowns
6:36Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Erik Silva 0-2 walk-in Submission · R1 2:29 — UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · February 28, 2026
3/5Sig. strikes
5/9Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
1:42Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Mairon Santos 1-0 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · March 8, 2025
39/143Sig. strikes
58/129Absorbed
3/5Takedowns
2:35Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Dennis Buzukja 1-2 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · August 24, 2024
57/150Sig. strikes
66/145Absorbed
1/6Takedowns
5:26Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Isaac Dulgarian 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:48 — UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · August 12, 2023
2/7Sig. strikes
35/53Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L William Gomis 1-0 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · April 22, 2023
15/132Sig. strikes
27/79Absorbed
2/5Takedowns
4:20Control
0Knockdowns
2Sub attempts
W Marcelo Rojo 0-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 1:14 — UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · December 3, 2022
23/81Sig. strikes
31/47Absorbed
1/3Takedowns
2:47Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
4-3-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 1
Decision 2
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 2
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 7

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 196 qualified Lightweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 2.3 avg 3.5
Strikes absorbed /min 3.1 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 29.3% avg 43.9%
Striking defense 53.6% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 2.0 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 41.7% avg 38.0%
Takedown defense 88.9% avg 61.4%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.6 avg 0.6
Control time 31.9% avg 21.2%
Finish rate 50.0% avg 50.7%