BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Francis Marshall vs.
Erik Silva

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-3-0 Francis Marshall · UFC
0-3-0 Erik Silva · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-3-0
UFC record
0-3-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
27
AgeΔ 12 yrs
39
5'9"
HeightΔ 0"
5'9"
72"
ReachΔ 1"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.4
Layoff (months)Δ 1.8 mo
5.2
WWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Erik Silva hunts takedowns — 2.66 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Francis Marshall owns the mat — in control 32% of cage time, vs a 17% Featherweight norm.
Francis Marshall hunts takedowns — 2.04 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Francis Marshall

Full career not yet synced for Francis Marshall — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.4 wins over .500

Erik Silva

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 710
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 121

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.88 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 32 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1722.34/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
261.54/min · norm 3.54
2313.14/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
281.66/min · norm 3.47
29.3%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
66.7%norm 45.0%
53.6%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
37.8%norm 54.85%
20.41/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Francis Marshall

Distance 95.9% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 1.7% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 6.5%)

Erik Silva

Distance 76.9% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 17.9% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 5.1% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Francis Marshall

Head 93.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 3.6% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 7.8%)

Erik Silva

Head 64.1% (norm 77.4%) · Body 20.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 15.4% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Marshall L/AAccFeatherweight med Silva L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 153 / 563 27.2% 40.9% 18 / 30 60.0% 40.9%
In the clinch 9 / 10 too few to rate 70.8% 7 / 7 too few to rate 70.8%
On the ground 10 / 14 too few to rate 69.2% 1 / 2 too few to rate 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 141 / 547 25.8% 37.2% 14 / 25 56.0% 37.2%
To the body 12 / 21 too few to rate 68.2% 7 / 8 too few to rate 68.2%
To the legs 19 / 19 too few to rate 80.7% 5 / 6 too few to rate 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Marshall L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Silva L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 190 / 436 43.6% 39.2% 17 / 32 53.1% 39.2%
In the clinch 4 / 7 too few to rate 70.3% 6 / 7 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 37 / 55 67.3% 69.4% 5 / 6 too few to rate 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 139 / 351 39.6% 35.9% 21 / 37 56.8% 35.9%
To the body 43 / 90 47.8% 67.9% 4 / 5 too few to rate 67.9%
To the legs 49 / 57 86.0% 81.5% 3 / 3 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1041.7% acc · 2.04/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
375.0% acc · 2.66/15 · norm 1.19
888.9% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
660.0% def · norm 61.5%
23:2631.9% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
2:4816.6% of cage time · norm 16.7%
5:321:07 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
11:3610:17 per 15 · norm 3:12
30.61/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Marshall has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.