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Women's Flyweight · “Heavy-Handed”

Ernesta Kareckaite

1-2-1
Durable Hard To Take Down
5'9"Height
71"Reach
OrthodoxStance
28Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
15:00Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 against every UFC veteran · the rim is reserved for specialists, and only efficiency opens it
Striking — Below avg, rated 40.5 of 100 Accuracy — Weak, rated 21.4 of 100 Striking D — Below avg, rated 28.6 of 100 Durability — Average, rated 61.6 of 100 Wrestling — Weak, rated 16.6 of 100 TD Defense — Average, rated 60.6 of 100 Grappling — Weak, rated 22.7 of 100 Control — Average, rated 48.3 of 100 Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking very good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • very good UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Kavanagh · February 22, 2026 watch ↗
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio elite
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • elite UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Kavanagh · February 22, 2026 watch ↗
durability not yet read
striking very good 1 read
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio elite 1 read
durability not yet read

Built on 60 minutes of tracked cage time across 4 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Durable average durability — rates 62 of 100 among UFC veterans
Hard To Take Down average td defense — rates 61 of 100 among UFC veterans
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min5.02
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.35
Striking accuracy40.0%
Striking defense53.0%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min0.5
Takedown accuracy50.0%
Takedown defense82.1%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time17.4%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-0

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
Sofia Montenegro favored — picked against Ernesta Kareckaite clear UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Kavanagh · February 22, 2026
strikingvery good cardioelite

Favors the more well-rounded, higher-output striker to control the pace over three rounds.

Karaskaite is a light-footed, constantly moving striker who feints often and lands quick combinations and knees, giving her a clearly more varied and technical arsenal than her opponent. Her cardio is rated as elite, which matters over three rounds against a pressure fighter. Her one real question mark is that she doesn't offensively grapple much, and if she gets walked down and pinned against the cage — something that's tougher to do than it sounds, given how well she moves — that's the one scenario that could actually give her trouble.

Strengthlight on his feet with constant head movement and feints
Strengthfast combinations and good knees
Strengthelite cardio
Strengthmore varied arsenal than opponent
Strengthgood sprawl
Weaknesslimited offensive grappling
Weaknesscan be controlled if backed against the cage
pace · elite

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 4 fights · green = win
May 4, 2024 vs Dione Barbosa — 3.53/min (L) May '24 January 11, 2025 vs Nicolle Caliari — 6.33/min (W) Jan '25 February 28, 2026 vs Regina Tarin — 7.0/min (L) Feb '26 October 10, 2026 vs Melissa Gatto — 3.2/min (D) Oct '26

Fight history

4 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
D Melissa Gatto 9-3-2 walk-in Decision - Majority · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · October 10, 2026
48/121Sig. strikes
41/79Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
4:10Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Regina Tarin 0-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · February 28, 2026
105/249Sig. strikes
114/239Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
1:17Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Nicolle Caliari 0-0 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · January 11, 2025
95/226Sig. strikes
67/166Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
1:33Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Dione Barbosa 0-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · May 4, 2024
53/156Sig. strikes
39/71Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
3:25Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
1-2-1UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 2
Other 0

Draws: 1

Fights by organization

UFC 4

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 55 qualified Women's Flyweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 5.0 avg 4.1
Strikes absorbed /min 4.3 avg 3.8
Striking accuracy 40.0% avg 44.2%
Striking defense 53.0% avg 56.0%
Takedowns /15 min 0.5 avg 1.3
Takedown accuracy 50.0% avg 41.6%
Takedown defense 82.1% avg 60.9%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.5
Control time 17.4% avg 21.4%
Finish rate 0.0% avg 39.1%