Dione Barbosa

Picked with real conviction -- the analyst says he was planning to bet her heavily even at unfavorable odds against her previous opponent, and calls this a clear path to victory if the fight hits the mat.

A good striker with a quick one-two, real pop in his hands, sharp boxing combinations, and a useful teep that plays well against a boxing-oriented opponent. The bigger case is the grappling: excellent timing on takedowns, top-tier trips specifically, good top control, and the ability to sweep actively from the bottom -- plus a slick armbar the analyst thinks could catch an opponent who sits in guard to throw ground strikes.

Picked clearly to win at a very high clip -- the analyst rates her opponent outmatched essentially everywhere except possibly the kicking game.

Record likely undersells her, by the analyst's own read of a prior decision loss he thought she actually won. Offensively sharp -- fast one-two, solid combination boxing, real pop in her hands, plus a teep kick that stood out repeatedly in her most recent bout. Grappling matches that level -- well-timed takedowns with trips as her go-to entry, strong top control, a slick armbar finish. Genuine black-belt credentials and coaching experience away from competition, which the analyst points to as proof of how deep her grappling background runs.