Ernesta Kareckaite vs.
Nicolle Caliari
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Ernesta Kareckaite
Full career not yet synced for Ernesta Kareckaite — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
Nicolle Caliari
Full career not yet synced for Nicolle Caliari — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.3 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Ernesta Kareckaite
Distance 90.3% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 3.6% (norm 4.9%)
Nicolle Caliari
Distance 91.8% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 3.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 4.9% (norm 4.9%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Ernesta Kareckaite
Head 85.3% (norm 78.1%) · Body 11.3% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 3.5% (norm 7.7%)
Nicolle Caliari
Head 78.7% (norm 78.1%) · Body 16.4% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 4.9% (norm 7.7%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Kareckaite L/A | Acc | Women's Flyweight med | Caliari L/A | Acc | Women's Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 219 / 570 | 38.4% | 39.9% | 101 / 280 | 36.1% | 39.9% |
| In the clinch | 26 / 38 | 68.4% | 73.3% | 7 / 10 | too few to rate | 73.3% |
| On the ground | 8 / 23 | too few to rate | 74.7% | 11 / 15 | too few to rate | 74.7% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 195 / 538 | 36.2% | 34.9% | 80 / 240 | 33.3% | 34.9% |
| To the body | 46 / 71 | 64.8% | 69.5% | 27 / 50 | 54.0% | 69.5% |
| To the legs | 12 / 22 | too few to rate | 82.6% | 12 / 15 | too few to rate | 82.6% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Kareckaite L/A | Opp acc | Women's Flyweight med | vs Caliari L/A | Opp acc | Women's Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 187 / 430 | 43.5% | 38.8% | 202 / 461 | 43.8% | 38.8% |
| In the clinch | 28 / 37 | 75.7% | 74.1% | 19 / 27 | 70.4% | 74.1% |
| On the ground | 5 / 9 | too few to rate | 73.4% | 12 / 12 | too few to rate | 73.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 133 / 354 | 37.6% | 35.3% | 178 / 423 | 42.1% | 35.3% |
| To the body | 70 / 100 | 70.0% | 69.0% | 51 / 69 | 73.9% | 69.0% |
| To the legs | 17 / 22 | too few to rate | 78.7% | 4 / 8 | too few to rate | 78.7% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Kareckaite has more cage time on record.