BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Ernesta Kareckaite vs.
Dione Barbosa

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-2-0 Ernesta Kareckaite · UFC
4-2-0 Dione Barbosa · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-2-0
UFC record
4-2-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
28.1
AgeΔ 6.1 yrs
34.2
5'9"
HeightΔ 3"
5'6"
71"
ReachΔ 5"
66"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5.2
Layoff (months)Δ 4.6 mo
0.6
LWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Dione Barbosa is a submission threat — 1.54 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Dione Barbosa hunts takedowns — 2.42 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Ernesta Kareckaite outworks the Women's Flyweight division — 5.62 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.91 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Ernesta Kareckaite

Full career not yet synced for Ernesta Kareckaite — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Dione Barbosa

Full career not yet synced for Dione Barbosa — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2535.62/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
1532.24/min · norm 3.91
2204.89/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
1642.40/min · norm 3.81
40.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
45.8%norm 44.9%
53.8%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
64.0%norm 55.95%
00.00/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ernesta Kareckaite

Distance 90.3% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 3.6% (norm 4.9%)

Dione Barbosa

Distance 88.0% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 6.0% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ernesta Kareckaite

Head 85.3% (norm 78.1%) · Body 11.3% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 3.5% (norm 7.7%)

Dione Barbosa

Head 78.1% (norm 78.1%) · Body 17.1% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 4.8% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Kareckaite L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Barbosa L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 219 / 570 38.4% 39.9% 120 / 294 40.8% 39.9%
In the clinch 26 / 38 68.4% 73.3% 17 / 20 too few to rate 73.3%
On the ground 8 / 23 too few to rate 74.7% 16 / 20 too few to rate 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 195 / 538 36.2% 34.9% 95 / 261 36.4% 34.9%
To the body 46 / 71 64.8% 69.5% 44 / 57 77.2% 69.5%
To the legs 12 / 22 too few to rate 82.6% 14 / 16 too few to rate 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Kareckaite L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Barbosa L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 187 / 430 43.5% 38.8% 141 / 412 34.2% 38.8%
In the clinch 28 / 37 75.7% 74.1% 9 / 11 too few to rate 74.1%
On the ground 5 / 9 too few to rate 73.4% 14 / 33 42.4% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 133 / 354 37.6% 35.3% 80 / 319 25.1% 35.3%
To the body 70 / 100 70.0% 69.0% 39 / 77 50.6% 69.0%
To the legs 17 / 22 too few to rate 78.7% 45 / 60 75.0% 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

266.7% acc · 0.67/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
1142.3% acc · 2.42/15 · norm 1.02
2278.6% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
1466.7% def · norm 58.95%
6:1513.9% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
20:3330.1% of cage time · norm 19.15%
8:272:49 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
18:434:06 per 15 · norm 3:03
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
71.54/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Barbosa has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.