BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Ernesta Kareckaite vs.
Regina Tarin

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other β€” the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-2-0 Ernesta Kareckaite Β· UFC
1-0-0 Regina Tarin Β· UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form β€” green marks the edge on each line.

1-2-0
UFC record
1-0-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Catch Weight
28
Age
β€”
5'9"
Height
β€”
71"
Reach
β€”
Orthodox
Stance
β€”
5.2
Layoff (months)Ξ” 0 mo
5.2
LWL
Last 5 (newest first)
W
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated β€” only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Ernesta Kareckaite outworks the Women's Flyweight division β€” 5.62 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.91 norm.
Ernesta Kareckaite rarely shoots β€” 0.67 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition β€” the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Ernesta Kareckaite

Full career not yet synced for Ernesta Kareckaite β€” tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 Β· avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Regina Tarin

Full career not yet synced for Regina Tarin β€” tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 Β· avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes β€” landed & absorbed

2535.62/min Β· norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
1147.60/min Β· norm β€”
2204.89/min Β· norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
1057.00/min Β· norm β€”
40.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
47.7%norm β€”
53.8%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
57.8%norm β€”
00.00/15 Β· norm 0.09
Knockdowns
00.00/15 Β· norm β€”

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ernesta Kareckaite

Distance 90.3% (norm 87.6%) Β· Clinch 6.0% (norm 7.3%) Β· Ground 3.6% (norm 4.9%)

Regina Tarin

Distance 87.4% (norm β€”) Β· Clinch 12.6% (norm β€”) Β· Ground 0.0% (norm β€”)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ernesta Kareckaite

Head 85.3% (norm 78.1%) Β· Body 11.3% (norm 14.2%) Β· Legs 3.5% (norm 7.7%)

Regina Tarin

Head 77.4% (norm β€”) Β· Body 20.1% (norm β€”) Β· Legs 2.5% (norm β€”)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green β‰₯ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Kareckaite L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Tarin L/AAccCatch Weight med
BY POSITION
At distance 219 / 570 38.4% 39.9% 91 / 209 43.5% β€”
In the clinch 26 / 38 68.4% 73.3% 23 / 30 76.7% β€”
On the ground 8 / 23 too few to rate 74.7% 0 / 0 too few to rate β€”
BY TARGET
To the head 195 / 538 36.2% 34.9% 76 / 185 41.1% β€”
To the body 46 / 71 64.8% 69.5% 34 / 48 70.8% β€”
To the legs 12 / 22 too few to rate 82.6% 4 / 6 too few to rate β€”

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters Β· Catch Weight: 0 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≀ division median β€” harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Kareckaite L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Tarin L/AOpp accCatch Weight med
BY POSITION
At distance 187 / 430 43.5% 38.8% 88 / 225 39.1% β€”
In the clinch 28 / 37 75.7% 74.1% 17 / 24 too few to rate β€”
On the ground 5 / 9 too few to rate 73.4% 0 / 0 too few to rate β€”
BY TARGET
To the head 133 / 354 37.6% 35.3% 79 / 212 37.3% β€”
To the body 70 / 100 70.0% 69.0% 20 / 30 66.7% β€”
To the legs 17 / 22 too few to rate 78.7% 6 / 7 too few to rate β€”
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions β€” career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

266.7% acc Β· 0.67/15 Β· norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
133.3% acc Β· 1.00/15 Β· norm β€”
2278.6% def Β· norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
150.0% def Β· norm β€”
6:1513.9% of cage time Β· norm 19.15%
Control time
1:026.9% of cage time Β· norm β€”
8:272:49 per 15 Β· norm 3:03
Time under control
1:171:17 per 15 Β· norm β€”
00.00/15 Β· norm 0.32
Submission attempts
00.00/15 Β· norm β€”

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals β€” Kareckaite has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.