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Middleweight · “CLD”

Christian Leroy Duncan

15-2-0 UFC 8-3-0
Granite Chin Sniper Accuracy
6'2"Height
79"Reach
SwitchStance
31Age
5KO wins
0Sub wins
62.5%Finish rate
11:39Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 against every UFC veteran · the rim is reserved for specialists, and only efficiency opens it
Striking — Above avg, rated 77.0 of 100 Accuracy — Elite, rated 96.4 of 100 Striking D — Average, rated 64.6 of 100 Durability — Strong, rated 92.2 of 100 Wrestling — Weak, rated 21.2 of 100 TD Defense — Below avg, rated 26.5 of 100 Grappling — Weak, rated 12.8 of 100 Control — Average, rated 54.2 of 100 Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs Usman · July 12, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs Murphy · March 15, 2026 watch ↗
grappling good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs Usman · July 12, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs Murphy · March 15, 2026 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 2 reads
grappling good 2 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
Granite Chin never dropped in 128 minutes of cage time · 0 losses by knockout
Sniper Accuracy 58% of significant strikes land
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.49
Sig. strikes absorbed / min2.34
Striking accuracy57.6%
Striking defense53.8%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.35
Takedowns / 15 min0.35
Takedown accuracy20.0%
Takedown defense59.2%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time19.7%
Record vs .500+ opponents4-3

Insider info

2 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
Jared Cannonier favored — picked against Christian Leroy Duncan lean UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs Usman · July 12, 2026
strikinggood grapplinggood

Picked against despite being on the way up, with the analyst noting he isn't top five yet and this is a real step down in opposition quality for him relative to the hype.

On the way up but not there yet, according to the analyst. A good striker, very dangerous and explosive with a lot to like -- a real flying knee, real elbows, and a very unorthodox style -- though that same unorthodoxy leaves him open to counters at times. Good grappling too, with good ground strikes, a good cage push, pretty good takedown defense, and decent takedowns built more on athleticism than pure technique.

Strengthvery dangerous, explosive striker with a real flying knee and elbows
Strengthunorthodox style that's hard to prepare for
Strengthgood ground strikes and cage push
Strengthpretty good takedown defense
Weaknessunorthodox style also leaves him open to counters at times
Weaknesstakedowns lean more on athleticism than refined technique
Roman Dolidze favored — picked against Christian Leroy Duncan coinflip UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs Murphy · March 15, 2026 · 1 read since
strikinggood grapplingdecent

Explicitly framed as a true toss-up, with the underdog pick going the other way offered as a spoiler read that could still change by fight week.

Duncan brings power and an unorthodox toolkit — sharp elbows, a live flying knee, and a willingness to spin that makes him dangerous but occasionally exposes him to counters. He backs it up with solid takedown defense and a strong cage-pressure game, leaning on elbows and ground-and-pound once he's got someone against the fence.

Strengthpowerful, unorthodox striking with good elbows and a dangerous flying knee
Strengthsolid takedown defense
Strengthstrong cage-pressure elbows and ground-and-pound
Weaknessunorthodox, spin-heavy style leaves him open to counters
ko power · good

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
March 2, 2024 vs Claudio Ribeiro — 9.35/min (W) Mar '24 July 27, 2024 vs Gregory Rodrigues — 1.93/min (L) Jul '24 March 22, 2025 vs Andrey Pulyaev — 4.87/min (W) Mar '25 August 9, 2025 vs Eryk Anders — 6.18/min (W) — only 3.9 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Aug '25 November 8, 2025 vs Marco Tulio — 2.76/min (W) Nov '25 March 21, 2026 vs Roman Dolidze — 3.6/min (W) Mar '26 July 18, 2026 vs Jared Cannonier — 4.53/min (W) Jul '26 October 10, 2026 vs Brendan Allen — 4.66/min (L) Oct '26

Fight history

11 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Brendan Allen 27-7 walk-in Submission · R5 2:46 — UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · October 10, 2026
106/189Sig. strikes
51/107Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
3:51Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Jared Cannonier 18-9 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · July 18, 2026
68/117Sig. strikes
15/46Absorbed
1/3Takedowns
2:16Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Roman Dolidze 15-4 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · March 21, 2026
54/99Sig. strikes
10/34Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
1:08Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Marco Tulio 2-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 3:20 — UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · November 8, 2025
23/46Sig. strikes
27/57Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
1:10Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Eryk Anders 17-8 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 3:53 — UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · August 9, 2025
24/43Sig. strikes
7/12Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:39Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Andrey Pulyaev 0-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · March 22, 2025
73/141Sig. strikes
18/55Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
5:36Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Gregory Rodrigues 15-5 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · July 27, 2024
29/48Sig. strikes
45/79Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
1:45Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Claudio Ribeiro 1-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 1:57 — UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · March 2, 2024
65/92Sig. strikes
4/26Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
2:15Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Denis Tiuliulin 1-3 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 4:24 — UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · November 18, 2023
65/87Sig. strikes
30/71Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
4:51Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Armen Petrosyan 8-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · June 17, 2023
59/122Sig. strikes
89/156Absorbed
0/3Takedowns
1:09Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Dusko Todorovic 12-3 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:52 — UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · March 18, 2023
9/14Sig. strikes
4/6Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:38Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
15-2-0Pro record
Range Martial Arts AcademyGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 10
Submission 1
Decision 4
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 2
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 10
Cage Warriors 7
Full career — 17 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
W Jared Cannonier Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: du Plessis vs. Usman
July 18, 2026
UFC 3 5:00
W Roman Dolidze Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
March 21, 2026
UFC 3 5:00
W Marco Tulio KO (spinning backfist and punches) UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown
November 8, 2025
UFC 2 3:28
W Eryk Anders KO (spinning back elbow and punches) UFC on ESPN: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
August 9, 2025
UFC 1 3:53
W Andrey Pulyaev Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
March 22, 2025
UFC 3 5:00
L Gregory Rodrigues Decision (unanimous) UFC 304
July 27, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
W Cláudio Ribeiro TKO (elbows and punches) UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
March 2, 2024
UFC 2 1:57
W Denis Tiuliulin TKO (elbows and punches) UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
November 18, 2023
UFC 2 4:24
L Armen Petrosyan Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Vettori vs. Cannonier
June 17, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
W Duško Todorović TKO (knee injury) UFC 286
March 18, 2023
UFC 1 1:52
W Marian Dimitrov TKO (spinning back elbow and punches) Cage Warriors 146
November 12, 2022
Cage Warriors 1 4:56
W Djati Mélan TKO (flying knee and punches) Cage Warriors 136
April 2, 2022
Cage Warriors 3 0:48
W Justin Moore Submission (rear-naked choke) Cage Warriors 131
December 10, 2021
Cage Warriors 1 2:24
W Will Currie Decision (unanimous) Cage Warriors 123
June 24, 2021
Cage Warriors 3 5:00
W Will Currie TKO (punches) Cage Warriors 120
March 18, 2021
Cage Warriors 1 0:18
W Łukasz Marcinkowski TKO (spinning heel kick and punches) Cage Warriors 119
December 12, 2020
Cage Warriors 1 1:00
W Kyle McClurkin TKO (punches) Cage Warriors 116
September 6, 2020
Cage Warriors 2 0:12

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Christian Leroy Duncan) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 167 qualified Middleweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.5 avg 3.3
Strikes absorbed /min 2.3 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 57.6% avg 46.9%
Striking defense 53.8% avg 53.5%
Takedowns /15 min 0.3 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 20.0% avg 40.5%
Takedown defense 59.2% avg 61.5%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.7
Control time 19.7% avg 21.7%
Finish rate 62.5% avg 60.7%