Christian Leroy Duncan vs.
Gregory Rodrigues
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Christian Leroy Duncan
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 8 | 2 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 7 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 2.05 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 17 documented bouts
In the UFC: 4-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500
Gregory Rodrigues
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 10 | 4 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 3 | 0 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 6 | 2 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.35 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 25 documented bouts
In the UFC: 8-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Christian Leroy Duncan
Distance 80.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 14.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 10.3%)
Gregory Rodrigues
Distance 87.7% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 7.5% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 10.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Christian Leroy Duncan
Head 63.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 14.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 22.4% (norm 8.4%)
Gregory Rodrigues
Head 83.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Duncan L/A | Acc | Middleweight med | Rodrigues L/A | Acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 347 / 648 | 53.5% | 40.5% | 539 / 1094 | 49.3% | 40.5% |
| In the clinch | 91 / 119 | 76.5% | 70.3% | 66 / 94 | 70.2% | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 31 / 42 | 73.8% | 69.1% | 37 / 59 | 62.7% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 232 / 512 | 45.3% | 38.9% | 473 / 1038 | 45.6% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 79 / 116 | 68.1% | 71.7% | 137 / 169 | 81.1% | 71.7% |
| To the legs | 158 / 181 | 87.3% | 83.3% | 32 / 40 | 80.0% | 83.3% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Duncan L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med | vs Rodrigues L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 194 / 462 | 42.0% | 39.5% | 473 / 1010 | 46.8% | 39.5% |
| In the clinch | 47 / 70 | 67.1% | 70.9% | 66 / 90 | 73.3% | 70.9% |
| On the ground | 8 / 10 | too few to rate | 69.0% | 10 / 17 | too few to rate | 69.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 132 / 388 | 34.0% | 37.9% | 321 / 836 | 38.4% | 37.9% |
| To the body | 52 / 73 | 71.2% | 71.3% | 120 / 162 | 74.1% | 71.3% |
| To the legs | 65 / 81 | 80.2% | 82.1% | 108 / 119 | 90.8% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rodrigues has more cage time on record.