BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Christian Leroy Duncan vs.
Roman Dolidze

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-2-0 Christian Leroy Duncan · UFC
9-5-0 Roman Dolidze · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-2-0
UFC record
9-5-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
31
AgeΔ 7.1 yrs
38.1
6'2"
HeightΔ 0"
6'2"
79"
ReachΔ 3"
76"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
0.6
Layoff (months)Δ 3.9 mo
4.5
WWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Christian Leroy Duncan rarely shoots — 0.43 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Roman Dolidze is a submission threat — 0.74 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Roman Dolidze's takedown defense leaks — 32% stopped, vs a 63% Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Christian Leroy Duncan

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 82
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.05 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Roman Dolidze

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 95
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.4 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 20 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4694.45/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
5783.19/min · norm 3.25
2492.36/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
6743.71/min · norm 3.20
58.0%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
41.6%norm 47.4%
54.1%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
48.5%norm 53.8%
30.43/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
40.33/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Christian Leroy Duncan

Distance 80.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 14.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 10.3%)

Roman Dolidze

Distance 86.7% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 5.2% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 8.1% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Christian Leroy Duncan

Head 63.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 14.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 22.4% (norm 8.4%)

Roman Dolidze

Head 77.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Duncan L/AAccMiddleweight med Dolidze L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 347 / 648 53.5% 40.5% 468 / 1204 38.9% 40.5%
In the clinch 91 / 119 76.5% 70.3% 35 / 72 48.6% 70.3%
On the ground 31 / 42 73.8% 69.1% 75 / 113 66.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 232 / 512 45.3% 38.9% 366 / 1081 33.9% 38.9%
To the body 79 / 116 68.1% 71.7% 84 / 142 59.2% 71.7%
To the legs 158 / 181 87.3% 83.3% 128 / 166 77.1% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Duncan L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Dolidze L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 194 / 462 42.0% 39.5% 556 / 1155 48.1% 39.5%
In the clinch 47 / 70 67.1% 70.9% 43 / 58 74.1% 70.9%
On the ground 8 / 10 too few to rate 69.0% 75 / 95 78.9% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 132 / 388 34.0% 37.9% 382 / 946 40.4% 37.9%
To the body 52 / 73 71.2% 71.3% 88 / 136 64.7% 71.3%
To the legs 65 / 81 80.2% 82.1% 204 / 226 90.3% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

320.0% acc · 0.43/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
1443.8% acc · 1.16/15 · norm 1.42
2257.9% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
832.0% def · norm 63.1%
21:2720.3% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
47:1426.0% of cage time · norm 19.75%
31:434:30 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
18:201:30 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
90.74/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dolidze has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.