Mateusz Gamrot

Picked against despite a long, accomplished record, on the reasoning that the challenger can either keep pace or simply out-wrestle him.

A veteran (26-4 career) whose entire path runs through the grappling. His striking has come a long way -- the takedown threat opens his hands, decent boxing combinations, a solid leg kick -- though his striking defense is not good at all, and he'll be outstruck over extended standing exchanges unless the takedown threat keeps opening things up. His actual path is rinse-and-repeat takedowns: solid grappling anchored by very good takedown volume with constant mat returns, though holding opponents down once they're there is where he struggles.

Picked on a rinse-and-repeat takedown volume advantage, with the analyst expecting a genuinely close fight either way.

Good striker -- the takedown threat really opens up his hands, good boxing combinations, pretty good leg kick. Striking defense isn't great, though better than this specific opponent's, and he's durable, typically absorbing some shots on the way to getting his takedowns. Solid grappler -- good volume of takedowns with a lot of mat returns, though he has to keep repeating them since he struggles to actually hold the opponent down once there. Ground and pound is there and sets up submission attempts, though he doesn't usually finish those. High motor, starts quick and keeps pushing pace throughout.