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Bantamweight

Kai Asakura

21-6-0 UFC 2-2-0
5'8"Height
69"Reach
OrthodoxStance
32Age
2KO wins
0Sub wins
100.0%Finish rate
6:02Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 against every UFC veteran · the rim is reserved for specialists, and only efficiency opens it
Striking — Below avg, rated 38.5 of 100 Accuracy — Below avg, rated 29.0 of 100 Striking D — Average, rated 47.7 of 100 Durability — Average, rated 56.1 of 100 Wrestling — Weak, rated 13.5 of 100 TD Defense — Weak, rated 24.2 of 100 Grappling — Below avg, rated 25.0 of 100 Control — Weak, rated 23.0 of 100 Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking solid contested
2 analyst reads graded this phase · Half The Battle reads it differently; 138 MMA is the primary, so his grade stands
  • solid UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · August 19, 2026 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night: Song vs Figueiredo · May 26, 2026 watch ↗
grappling decent ✓ 2nd source close
2 analyst reads graded this phase · Half The Battle lands within one step of it
  • decent UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · August 19, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night: Song vs Figueiredo · May 26, 2026 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability decent Half The Battle
1 analyst read graded this phase · 138 MMA has not, so this is filled from Half The Battle
  • decent UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · August 27, 2026 · Half The Battle watch ↗
striking solid 2 reads
grappling decent 2 reads · 2nd source close
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability decent 1 read · Half The Battle

Built on 24 minutes of tracked cage time across 4 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.07
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.15
Striking accuracy39.6%
Striking defense51.9%
Knockdowns / 15 min1.24
Takedowns / 15 min0.0
Takedown accuracy0.0%
Takedown defense50.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time4.6%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-1

Insider info

2 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
Kai Asakura favored over Aoriqileng clear UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · August 19, 2026
strikingsolid grapplingdecent

Concludes he should be fine here after weighing the opponent's natural-weight advantage, landing on the pick without much remaining doubt.

A well-rounded, scrappy finisher whose knee game and combination volume stand out, with real grappling upside undercut by a genuine question mark in his own submission defense.

Strengthstrong knee attacks including a good step-in knee into the flying knee
Strengthsets up combinations well with feints and closes distance efficiently
Strengthkicks to every level and recovers quickly when hurt
Strengthgood throws, scrambles, and back-taking with heavy ground-and-pound
Strengthrecognizes and capitalizes on a hurt opponent as well as anyone in the division
Weaknesswill use submission attempts defensively to stall rather than purely to finish
Weaknesshis own submission defense is a real question mark
sub defense · suspect
Kai Asakura favored over Cameron Smotherman clear UFC Fight Night: Song vs Figueiredo · May 26, 2026 · 1 read since
strikingsolid grapplinggood

Picked clearly -- the analyst says he'd be surprised if this fighter doesn't win, while noting he hasn't won in the UFC yet as a real caveat.

Solid striker with a good step-in knee and a very good flying knee -- both called genuinely great, hard-to-defend weapons. Good combinations, good volume, good feints, kicks to all levels, and recovers quickly when hurt. Has a real grappling advantage in this specific matchup -- grappling has been a weakness against much higher-level competition in the past, but this opponent isn't at that level -- with good scrambles, good throws, good back-taking, and good ground and pound. Rated the favorite on the feet as well. Notably still winless in the UFC (0-2) despite being a heavy favorite here, and this is a significant step down in competition from his prior UFC opposition.

Strengthvery good flying knee and a good step-in knee, both hard to defend
Strengthgood combinations, feints, and kicks to all levels
Strengthreal grappling advantage in this specific matchup
Strengthrecovers quickly when hurt
Weaknessstill winless in the UFC (0-2) heading into this fight

Gap-fill reads

1 read · Half The Battle · used only where 138 MMA is silent · our paraphrase, never his words
Kai Asakura favored over Aoriqileng clear agrees with 138 MMA Half The Battle · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · August 27, 2026
durabilitydecent
grapplingpoor
strikingvery good

A crowd-pleasing knockout striker with a long highlight reel from outside the UFC, rated as the smoother and more stylish of the two on the feet. The trade-off is explicit: an aggressive, high-risk approach means he gets caught from time to time as well. His clearest liability is the mat, and the reason this specific matchup is liked for him is that his opponent has no interest in taking it there. Coming off a first UFC win against admittedly weak opposition, the expectation is that the right matchmaking produces the sort of finishes he built his reputation on.

Strengthknockout power and finishing instinct, with a deep highlight reel outside the UFC
Strengththe more polished and fluid striker of the two on the feet
Weaknessgrappling is his clear weak point
Weaknesshigh-risk style means he is catchable in return
Weaknesslast win came against notably weak opposition
ko power · goodchin · suspectcompetition quality · untested

Watch this breakdown ↗

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 4 fights · green = win
December 7, 2024 vs Alexandre Pantoja — 2.4/min (L) Dec '24 August 16, 2025 vs Tim Elliott — 2.18/min (L) Aug '25 May 30, 2026 vs Cameron Smotherman — 4.91/min (W) — only 1.8 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought May '26 August 29, 2026 vs Aoriqileng — 4.85/min (W) Aug '26

Fight history

4 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Aoriqileng 25-13 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 0:34 — UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · August 29, 2026
27/50Sig. strikes
14/28Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:39Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Cameron Smotherman 1-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:50 — UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · May 30, 2026
9/21Sig. strikes
3/7Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Tim Elliott 20-13-1 walk-in Submission · R2 4:39 — UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · August 16, 2025
21/87Sig. strikes
27/71Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:01Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Alexandre Pantoja 28-5 walk-in TITLE Submission · R2 2:05 — UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · December 7, 2024
17/29Sig. strikes
32/52Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:24Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
21-6-0Pro record
JAPAN TOP TEAMGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 14
Submission 3
Decision 4
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 3
Submission 2
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

Rizin 14
Rings 5
UFC 3
Road FC 3
Rizin World Grand Prix 1
DEEP 1
Full career — 27 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
W Cameron Smotherman KO (punch) UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
May 30, 2026
UFC 1 1:50
L Tim Elliott Submission (guillotine choke) UFC 319
August 16, 2025
UFC 2 4:39
L Alexandre Pantoja Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) UFC 310
December 7, 2024
UFC 2 2:05
W Juan Archuleta TKO (knee to the body and punches) Rizin 45
December 31, 2023
Rizin 2 3:20
W Yuki Motoya KO (knee to the body) Rizin 42
May 6, 2023
Rizin 3 2:25
L Hiromasa Ougikubo Decision (unanimous) Rizin 33
December 31, 2021
Rizin 3 5:00
W Alan Yamaniha Decision (unanimous) Rizin 30
September 19, 2021
Rizin 3 5:00
W Shooto Watanabe TKO (punches) Rizin 28
June 13, 2021
Rizin 1 3:22
L Kyoji Horiguchi KO (punches) Rizin 26
December 31, 2020
Rizin 1 2:48
W Shoji Maruyama TKO (punches and soccer kick) Rizin 24
September 27, 2020
Rizin 1 2:37
W Hiromasa Ougikubo KO (knee and soccer kicks) Rizin 23
August 10, 2020
Rizin 1 4:31
L Manel Kape TKO (punches) Rizin 20
December 31, 2019
Rizin 2 0:38
W Ulka Sasaki TKO (broken jaw) Rizin 19
October 12, 2019
Rizin 1 0:54
W Kyoji Horiguchi KO (punches) Rizin 18
August 18, 2019
Rizin 1 1:08
W Moon Jae-hoon Decision (unanimous) Rizin: Heisei's Last Yarennoka!
December 30, 2018
Rizin 3 5:00
W Topnoi Kiwram Decision (unanimous) Rizin 13
September 30, 2018
Rizin 3 5:00
W Manel Kape Decision (split) Rizin 10
May 6, 2018
Rizin 3 5:00
W Kizaemon Saiga TKO (punches and knee) Rizin World Grand Prix 2017: 2nd Round
December 29, 2017
Rizin World Grand Prix 2 2:34
L Moon Jae-hoon KO (punches) Road FC 39
June 10, 2017
Road FC 3 2:38
W Alateng Heili KO (knee and punches) Road FC 37
March 11, 2017
Road FC 1 0:29
W Yoichi Oi TKO (punches) Rings: The Outsider 42
September 4, 2016
Rings 1 4:52
W Liu Xiaoyang Submission (rear-naked choke) Road FC 32
July 2, 2016
Road FC 1 1:49
W Kwak Jong-hyun TKO (punches) Rings: The Outsider 38
December 13, 2015
Rings 1 4:04
W Choi Jung-bin Submission (brabo choke) Rings: The Outsider 37
September 6, 2015
Rings 1 2:21
W Keigo Takayama TKO (punches) Rings: The Outsider 36
July 19, 2015
Rings 1 0:40
W Satoru Date TKO (punches) Rings: The Outsider 35
May 17, 2015
Rings 2 3:36
W Tomoya Suzuki Technical Submission (armbar) DEEP: Cage Impact 2012 in Hamamatsu
September 16, 2012
DEEP 1 2:34

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Kai Asakura) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 124 qualified Bantamweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 3.1 avg 3.7
Strikes absorbed /min 3.1 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 39.6% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 51.9% avg 56.4%
Takedowns /15 min 0.0 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 0.0% avg 36.9%
Takedown defense 50.0% avg 62.8%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.5
Control time 4.6% avg 19.4%
Finish rate 100.0% avg 48.2%

Hero photo of Kai Asakura by ホタテマン0010 · CC BY 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons