BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Kai Asakura vs.
Tim Elliott

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-2-0 Kai Asakura · UFC
10-12-0 Tim Elliott · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-2-0
UFC record
10-12-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
32
AgeΔ 7 yrs
39
5'8"
HeightΔ 1"
5'7"
69"
ReachΔ 3"
66"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
2.3
Layoff (months)Δ 0.9 mo
3.2
WLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Kai Asakura carries real power — 0.81 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.18 Flyweight norm.
Tim Elliott hunts takedowns — 3.61 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Kai Asakura rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Kai Asakura

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 135
Tier 3 — regional circuit 81

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.44 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Tim Elliott

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1012
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 92

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.66 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

472.53/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
9483.51/min · norm 3.49
623.34/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
8103.00/min · norm 3.24
34.3%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
43.4%norm 44.6%
52.3%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
56.4%norm 56.4%
10.81/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
20.11/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kai Asakura

Distance 97.1% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 0.7% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 7.3%)

Tim Elliott

Distance 78.6% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 10.0% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 11.4% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kai Asakura

Head 84.7% (norm 75.9%) · Body 10.9% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 4.4% (norm 9.3%)

Tim Elliott

Head 71.4% (norm 75.9%) · Body 15.7% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 12.9% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Asakura L/AAccFlyweight med Elliott L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 46 / 133 34.6% 40.0% 627 / 1716 36.5% 40.0%
In the clinch 0 / 1 too few to rate 70.4% 155 / 218 71.1% 70.4%
On the ground 1 / 3 too few to rate 69.7% 166 / 248 66.9% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 33 / 116 28.4% 37.6% 548 / 1559 35.2% 37.6%
To the body 10 / 15 too few to rate 68.5% 185 / 342 54.1% 68.5%
To the legs 4 / 6 too few to rate 80.0% 215 / 281 76.5% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Asakura L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Elliott L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 59 / 126 46.8% 40.1% 673 / 1652 40.7% 40.1%
In the clinch 2 / 2 too few to rate 68.8% 84 / 130 64.6% 68.8%
On the ground 1 / 2 too few to rate 71.1% 53 / 74 71.6% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 36 / 82 43.9% 35.2% 581 / 1553 37.4% 35.2%
To the body 7 / 24 too few to rate 68.2% 152 / 210 72.4% 68.2%
To the legs 19 / 24 too few to rate 80.3% 77 / 93 82.8% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
6545.5% acc · 3.61/15 · norm 1.30
550.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
3859.4% def · norm 62.5%
0:282.5% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
80:4529.9% of cage time · norm 17.0%
4:403:46 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
58:323:15 per 15 · norm 2:44
00.00/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
191.06/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Elliott has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.