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Heavyweight · “The Prototype”

Jake Collier

14-11-0 UFC 5-9-0
Forward Pressure Relentless Attack Volume Machine KO-Prone Hittable
6'3"Height
78"Reach
OrthodoxStance
37Age
1KO wins
1Sub wins
40.0%Finish rate
10:36Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 against every UFC veteran · the rim is reserved for specialists, and only efficiency opens it
Striking — Above avg, rated 69.7 of 100 Accuracy — Below avg, rated 42.3 of 100 Striking D — Weak, rated 11.6 of 100 Durability — Weak, rated 24.2 of 100 Wrestling — Below avg, rated 33.1 of 100 TD Defense — Average, rated 62.3 of 100 Grappling — Average, rated 62.2 of 100 Control — Below avg, rated 40.5 of 100 Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
  1. Striking Above avg 70
  2. TD Defense Average 62
  3. Grappling Average 62
  4. Accuracy Below avg 42
  5. Control Below avg 40
  6. Wrestling Below avg 33
  7. Durability Weak 24
  8. Striking D Weak 12
Forward Pressure 5.8 landed and 5.1 absorbed per minute — he turns fights into firefights
Relentless Attack 90 offensive actions per 15 min — strikes, takedown and submission attempts together
Volume Machine 5.8 significant strikes landed per minute
KO-Prone 4 of 9 losses came by knockout
Hittable absorbs 5.1 significant strikes per minute
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min5.8
Sig. strikes absorbed / min5.08
Striking accuracy44.3%
Striking defense50.8%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.3
Takedowns / 15 min0.71
Takedown accuracy33.3%
Takedown defense67.6%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.61
Control time15.3%
Record vs .500+ opponents1-4

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
Jake Collier favored over Chris Barnett clear UFC 279 · September 7, 2022

He calls the pick obvious and notes Collier is a heavy betting favorite, even while warning that close decisions have not gone his way with judges before.

Jake Collier holds a real size and reach edge in this fight and, per the analyst, sits at the top of the UFC heavyweight division's lower tier, capable of beating essentially anyone below true title contention. His résumé includes several split decisions that could easily have gone his way, suggesting he's been somewhat unlucky with judges rather than genuinely overmatched. The pick favors him clearly, with the main caution being that judges have historically not been kind to him if this one goes the distance.

Strengthsignificant reach and height advantage in this matchup
Strengthgraded as the best of the heavyweight division's lower tier
Strengthheavily favored on the odds
Weaknesshistory of close decisions not going his way with judges

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
July 25, 2020 vs Tom Aspinall — 4.0/min (L) — only 0.8 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jul '20 December 5, 2020 vs Gian Villante — 8.2/min (W) Dec '20 June 12, 2021 vs Carlos Felipe — 8.67/min (L) Jun '21 January 15, 2022 vs Chase Sherman — 8.22/min (W) — only 2.4 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jan '22 April 30, 2022 vs Andrei Arlovski — 6.2/min (L) Apr '22 September 10, 2022 vs Chris Barnett — 6.89/min (L) Sep '22 April 29, 2023 vs Martin Buday — 6.27/min (L) Apr '23 September 23, 2023 vs Mohammed Usman — 5.8/min (L) Sep '23

Fight history

14 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Mohammed Usman 2-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · September 23, 2023
87/183Sig. strikes
85/191Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:53Control
0Knockdowns
2Sub attempts
L Martin Buday 11-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · April 29, 2023
94/207Sig. strikes
98/177Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
4:31Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Chris Barnett 22-8 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 2:24 — UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · September 10, 2022
51/98Sig. strikes
54/98Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
1:26Control
1Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Andrei Arlovski 32-20 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · April 30, 2022
93/188Sig. strikes
91/164Absorbed
2/3Takedowns
3:38Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Chase Sherman 15-8 walk-in Submission · R1 2:26 — UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · January 15, 2022
20/49Sig. strikes
10/17Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
1:07Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Carlos Felipe 10-1 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · June 12, 2021
130/281Sig. strikes
94/192Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Gian Villante 17-12 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · December 5, 2020
123/272Sig. strikes
80/197Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:02Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Tom Aspinall 7-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 0:45 — UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · July 25, 2020
3/9Sig. strikes
10/10Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Marcel Fortuna 9-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · November 11, 2017
94/247Sig. strikes
59/140Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
1:11Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Devin Clark 7-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · April 15, 2017
36/72Sig. strikes
68/105Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
2:12Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Alberto Uda 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 1:06 — UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · May 29, 2016
27/54Sig. strikes
15/27Absorbed
1/5Takedowns
2:37Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Dongi Yang 1-3 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 1:50 — UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · November 28, 2015
22/41Sig. strikes
29/42Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
1:46Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Ricardo Abreu 1-0 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · June 6, 2015
67/211Sig. strikes
47/151Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:14Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Vitor Miranda 9-4 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:59 — UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · December 20, 2014
15/35Sig. strikes
14/21Absorbed
2/3Takedowns
3:04Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
14-11-0Pro record
Smith Pit MMA (2009–present)Gym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 6
Submission 4
Decision 4
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 4
Submission 2
Decision 5
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 14
Shamrock FC 2
Rumble Times Promotions 2
Cage Championships 2
Fight Me MMA 2
Rumble Time Promotions 2
RFA 1
Full career — 25 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Christian Edwards TKO (submission to slam) Shamrock FC 360
January 18, 2025
Shamrock FC 1 3:36
W Kelvin Fitial KO (punch) Shamrock FC 357
September 7, 2024
Shamrock FC 1 0:24
L Mohammed Usman Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot
September 23, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
L Martin Buday Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Song vs. Simón
April 29, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
L Chris Barnett TKO (punches) UFC 279
September 10, 2022
UFC 2 2:24
L Andrei Arlovski Decision (split) UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Vera
April 30, 2022
UFC 3 5:00
W Chase Sherman Submission (rear-naked choke) UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Chikadze
January 15, 2022
UFC 1 2:26
L Carlos Felipe Decision (split) UFC 263
June 12, 2021
UFC 3 5:00
W Gian Villante Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Hermansson vs. Vettori
December 5, 2020
UFC 3 5:00
L Tom Aspinall TKO (knee and punches) UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till
July 26, 2020
UFC 1 0:45
W Marcel Fortuna Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis
November 11, 2017
UFC 3 5:00
L Devin Clark Decision (unanimous) UFC on Fox: Johnson vs. Reis
April 15, 2017
UFC 3 5:00
W Alberto Uda TKO (knee and body kick) UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Garbrandt
May 29, 2016
UFC 2 1:06
L Yang Dongi TKO (punches) UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs. Masvidal
November 28, 2015
UFC 2 1:50
W Ricardo Abreu Decision (split) UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs. Henderson
June 6, 2015
UFC 3 5:00
L Vitor Miranda TKO (head kick and punches) UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Dollaway
December 20, 2014
UFC 1 4:59
W Gabriel Checco Submission (rear-naked choke) RFA 19
October 10, 2014
RFA 1 4:27
W Quartus Stitt Submission (guillotine choke) Rumble Times Promotions
May 3, 2013
Rumble Times Promotions 1 1:32
W Cully Butterfield Decision (unanimous) Rumble Times Promotions
October 26, 2012
Rumble Times Promotions 3 5:00
W Sean Huffman TKO (punches) Cage Championships 38
June 23, 2012
Cage Championships 1 0:48
W James Wade TKO (punches) Cage Championships 37
April 7, 2012
Cage Championships 1 1:22
L Kelvin Tiller Submission (triangle choke) Fight Me MMA
January 13, 2012
Fight Me MMA 1 4:40
W Dan McGlasson KO (punch) Fight Me MMA
August 13, 2011
Fight Me MMA 1 1:26
W Darryl Cobb Submission (rear-naked choke) Rumble Time Promotions
April 15, 2011
Rumble Time Promotions 3 4:08
W James Wade TKO (punches) Rumble Time Promotions
November 19, 2010
Rumble Time Promotions 1 2:05

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Jake Collier) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 100 qualified Heavyweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 5.8 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 5.1 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 44.3% avg 49.5%
Striking defense 50.8% avg 52.1%
Takedowns /15 min 0.7 avg 1.2
Takedown accuracy 33.3% avg 37.6%
Takedown defense 67.6% avg 61.8%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.6 avg 0.4
Control time 15.3% avg 21.4%
Finish rate 40.0% avg 63.7%