BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jake Collier vs.
Marcel Fortuna

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-9-0 Jake Collier · UFC
1-2-0 Marcel Fortuna · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-9-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
37.8
AgeΔ 3 yrs
40.8
6'3"
HeightΔ 2"
6'1"
78"
ReachΔ 4"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
34.4
Layoff (months)Δ 70.4 mo
104.8
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jake Collier is a submission threat — 0.61 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Jake Collier outworks the Heavyweight division — 5.80 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.36 norm.
Marcel Fortuna is a submission threat — 0.45 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jake Collier

Full career not yet synced for Jake Collier — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Marcel Fortuna

Full career not yet synced for Marcel Fortuna — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8625.80/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
1273.83/min · norm 3.41
7545.08/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
1504.52/min · norm 3.35
44.3%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
46.5%norm 48.3%
50.8%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
64.5%norm 52.9%
30.30/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
10.45/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jake Collier

Distance 90.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 7.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 9.3%)

Marcel Fortuna

Distance 94.5% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.1% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 0.4% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jake Collier

Head 81.3% (norm 79.2%) · Body 11.6% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.1% (norm 7.6%)

Marcel Fortuna

Head 81.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 12.8% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Collier L/AAccHeavyweight med Fortuna L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 738 / 1755 42.1% 40.1% 116 / 258 45.0% 41.4%
In the clinch 94 / 146 64.4% 70.6% 11 / 14 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 30 / 46 65.2% 70.2% 0 / 1 too few to rate 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 574 / 1583 36.3% 38.9% 88 / 221 39.8% 38.9%
To the body 169 / 226 74.8% 76.8% 26 / 35 74.3% 71.9%
To the legs 119 / 138 86.2% 87.8% 13 / 17 too few to rate 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Collier L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Fortuna L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 594 / 1312 45.3% 40.7% 132 / 389 33.9% 40.4%
In the clinch 72 / 106 67.9% 70.6% 8 / 19 too few to rate 68.7%
On the ground 88 / 114 77.2% 72.0% 10 / 15 too few to rate 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 545 / 1268 43.0% 38.8% 100 / 355 28.2% 37.5%
To the body 151 / 193 78.2% 75.1% 30 / 44 68.2% 72.3%
To the legs 58 / 71 81.7% 84.4% 20 / 24 too few to rate 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

733.3% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
18.3% acc · 0.45/15 · norm 0.87
2367.6% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
675.0% def · norm 66.7%
22:4115.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
1:093.5% of cage time · norm 16.5%
21:242:09 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
3:261:33 per 15 · norm 2:48
60.61/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
10.45/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Collier has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.