BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jake Collier vs.
Martin Buday

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-9-0 Jake Collier · UFC
7-1-0 Martin Buday · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-9-0
UFC record
7-1-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
37.8
AgeΔ 3.1 yrs
34.7
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'4"
78"
ReachΔ 1"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
34.4
Layoff (months)Δ 22 mo
12.4
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jake Collier is a submission threat — 0.61 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Martin Buday rarely shoots — 0.16 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Jake Collier outworks the Heavyweight division — 5.80 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.36 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jake Collier

Full career not yet synced for Jake Collier — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Martin Buday

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 81
Tier 3 — regional circuit 83

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.21 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 20 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8625.80/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
4234.37/min · norm 3.36
7545.08/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
4444.59/min · norm 3.19
44.3%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
52.1%norm 47.8%
50.8%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
56.1%norm 52.5%
30.30/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
10.16/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jake Collier

Distance 90.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 7.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 9.3%)

Martin Buday

Distance 80.7% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 16.9% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 2.5% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jake Collier

Head 81.3% (norm 79.2%) · Body 11.6% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.1% (norm 7.6%)

Martin Buday

Head 79.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 12.7% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 8.1% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Collier L/AAccHeavyweight med Buday L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 738 / 1755 42.1% 40.1% 304 / 655 46.4% 40.1%
In the clinch 94 / 146 64.4% 70.6% 107 / 137 78.1% 70.6%
On the ground 30 / 46 65.2% 70.2% 12 / 20 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 574 / 1583 36.3% 38.9% 272 / 643 42.3% 38.9%
To the body 169 / 226 74.8% 76.8% 92 / 103 89.3% 76.8%
To the legs 119 / 138 86.2% 87.8% 59 / 66 89.4% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Collier L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Buday L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 594 / 1312 45.3% 40.7% 366 / 900 40.7% 40.7%
In the clinch 72 / 106 67.9% 70.6% 65 / 89 73.0% 70.6%
On the ground 88 / 114 77.2% 72.0% 13 / 22 too few to rate 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 545 / 1268 43.0% 38.8% 241 / 758 31.8% 38.8%
To the body 151 / 193 78.2% 75.1% 141 / 179 78.8% 75.1%
To the legs 58 / 71 81.7% 84.4% 62 / 74 83.8% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

733.3% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
125.0% acc · 0.16/15 · norm 0.95
2367.6% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
1493.3% def · norm 64.3%
22:4115.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
22:2823.2% of cage time · norm 17.2%
21:242:09 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
17:422:44 per 15 · norm 2:28
60.61/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
10.16/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Collier has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.