BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jake Collier vs.
Ricardo Abreu

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-9-0 Jake Collier · UFC
1-1-0 Ricardo Abreu · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-9-0
UFC record
1-1-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
37.8
AgeΔ 4.5 yrs
42.3
6'3"
HeightΔ 4"
5'11"
78"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
34.4
Layoff (months)Δ 99.6 mo
134
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Ricardo Abreu carries real power — 1.42 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Jake Collier is a submission threat — 0.61 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Jake Collier outworks the Heavyweight division — 5.80 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.36 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jake Collier

Full career not yet synced for Jake Collier — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Ricardo Abreu

Full career not yet synced for Ricardo Abreu — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8625.80/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
803.79/min · norm 3.25
7545.08/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
843.98/min · norm 3.20
44.3%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
31.7%norm 47.4%
50.8%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
68.1%norm 53.8%
30.30/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
21.42/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jake Collier

Distance 90.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 7.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 9.3%)

Ricardo Abreu

Distance 85.7% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 9.5% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 4.8% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jake Collier

Head 81.3% (norm 79.2%) · Body 11.6% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.1% (norm 7.6%)

Ricardo Abreu

Head 90.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 5.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 3.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Collier L/AAccHeavyweight med Abreu L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 738 / 1755 42.1% 40.1% 58 / 216 26.9% 40.5%
In the clinch 94 / 146 64.4% 70.6% 13 / 24 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 30 / 46 65.2% 70.2% 9 / 12 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 574 / 1583 36.3% 38.9% 65 / 229 28.4% 38.9%
To the body 169 / 226 74.8% 76.8% 10 / 14 too few to rate 71.7%
To the legs 119 / 138 86.2% 87.8% 5 / 9 too few to rate 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Collier L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Abreu L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 594 / 1312 45.3% 40.7% 78 / 244 32.0% 39.5%
In the clinch 72 / 106 67.9% 70.6% 6 / 19 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 88 / 114 77.2% 72.0% 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 545 / 1268 43.0% 38.8% 42 / 198 21.2% 37.9%
To the body 151 / 193 78.2% 75.1% 20 / 34 58.8% 71.3%
To the legs 58 / 71 81.7% 84.4% 22 / 31 71.0% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

733.3% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
342.9% acc · 2.13/15 · norm 1.42
2367.6% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
1100.0% def · norm 63.1%
22:4115.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
4:2020.5% of cage time · norm 19.75%
21:242:09 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
0:140:09 per 15 · norm 3:00
60.61/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
10.71/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Collier has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.