Ismael Bonfim

Picked against despite being called the technically better fighter, on the reasoning that he repeatedly breaks mentally against adversity in a way his opponent does not.

A solid striker with real power, good combinations, good counters, and a love for the flying knee, who also works the body well. Solid grappler with nasty ground strikes, good takedown defense that makes opponents pay for failed attempts, active submission attacks, and an occasional guard-pull. The analyst's central concern isn't skill -- it's a repeated pattern of breaking under adversity against opponents he's technically better than, evidenced by past losses to less skilled fighters.