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Lightweight

Francisco Prado

2-5-0
Durable Submission Grappler
5'10"Height
69"Reach
OrthodoxStance
24Age
2KO wins
0Sub wins
100.0%Finish rate
11:55Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 against every UFC veteran · the rim is reserved for specialists, and only efficiency opens it
Striking — Average, rated 49.3 of 100 Accuracy — Below avg, rated 42.1 of 100 Striking D — Below avg, rated 30.4 of 100 Durability — Average, rated 69.3 of 100 Wrestling — Average, rated 52.0 of 100 TD Defense — Weak, rated 21.5 of 100 Grappling — Average, rated 62.8 of 100 Control — Average, rated 48.4 of 100 Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
1 analyst read graded this phase
grappling decent
1 analyst read graded this phase
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 1 read
grappling decent 1 read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

Built on 83 minutes of tracked cage time across 7 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Durable average durability — rates 69 of 100 among UFC veterans
Submission Grappler average grappling — rates 63 of 100 among UFC veterans
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.79
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.24
Striking accuracy44.0%
Striking defense54.1%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.18
Takedowns / 15 min1.08
Takedown accuracy26.1%
Takedown defense40.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.72
Control time17.5%
Record vs .500+ opponents1-3

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
Charles Radtke favored — picked against Francisco Prado lean UFC 327 · April 5, 2026
strikinggood grapplingdecent

Picked against, with the analyst summarizing his career as consistently just a shade off from being a finished product.

Fairly capable striker packing decent pop, throwing kicks to every level with a strong head kick and a brutal leg kick, though body kicks show up less often. His glaring vulnerability is head movement -- he essentially has none, leaving his defense wide open. He's rugged and can absorb punishment, willing to trade blow-for-blow in an entertaining, high-volume brawl, but soaking up that much damage can cost him rounds on the scorecards even during exchanges he's winning on output. His Thai clinch work is strong, with solid control from that position. He runs a bit small for this weight class, genuinely straddling two divisions. Grappling-wise he's serviceable -- capable of big slams and lifting opponents off their feet to plant them down -- but he can't keep anyone pinned once the fight lands there.

Strengthbrutal leg kick paired with a strong head kick
Strengthrugged and willing to trade in a high-volume brawl
Strengthstrong Thai clinch with solid positional control
Strengthcapable of big slams when he gets the fight to the floor
Weaknessessentially no head movement, a glaring hole in his defense
Weaknessundersized for the weight class, caught between two divisions
chin · durable

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 7 fights · green = win
February 11, 2023 vs Jamie Mullarkey — 1.87/min (L) Feb '23 July 15, 2023 vs Ottman Azaitar — 9.31/min (W) — only 4.1 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jul '23 February 24, 2024 vs Daniel Zellhuber — 6.0/min (L) Feb '24 February 8, 2025 vs Jake Matthews — 3.93/min (L) Feb '25 July 19, 2025 vs Nikolay Veretennikov — 3.13/min (L) Jul '25 April 11, 2026 vs Charles Radtke — 1.93/min (L) Apr '26 October 10, 2026 vs Ismael Bonfim — 5.7/min (W) — only 4.4 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Oct '26

Fight history

7 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Ismael Bonfim 2-4 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:23 — UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · October 10, 2026
25/51Sig. strikes
13/26Absorbed
2/2Takedowns
2:16Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Charles Radtke 4-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · April 11, 2026
29/66Sig. strikes
24/47Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
1:50Control
0Knockdowns
2Sub attempts
L Nikolay Veretennikov 0-2 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · July 19, 2025
47/77Sig. strikes
56/105Absorbed
3/10Takedowns
6:49Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Jake Matthews 20-7 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · February 8, 2025
59/146Sig. strikes
68/184Absorbed
1/6Takedowns
2:16Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Daniel Zellhuber 14-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · February 24, 2024
90/246Sig. strikes
120/272Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:25Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Ottman Azaitar 13-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:05 — UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · July 15, 2023
38/57Sig. strikes
14/33Absorbed
0/3Takedowns
0:49Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Jamie Mullarkey 15-5 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · February 11, 2023
28/75Sig. strikes
59/104Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
0:10Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
2-5-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 2
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 5
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 7

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 196 qualified Lightweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 3.8 avg 3.5
Strikes absorbed /min 4.2 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 44.0% avg 43.9%
Striking defense 54.1% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 1.1 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 26.1% avg 38.0%
Takedown defense 40.0% avg 61.4%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.7 avg 0.6
Control time 17.5% avg 21.2%
Finish rate 100.0% avg 50.7%