BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Francisco Prado vs.
Ottman Azaitar

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-5-0 Francisco Prado · UFC
2-3-0 Ottman Azaitar · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-5-0
UFC record
2-3-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
24
AgeΔ 12 yrs
36
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
5'8"
69"
ReachΔ 2"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
3.8
Layoff (months)Δ 15.9 mo
19.7
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Ottman Azaitar carries real power — 0.80 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Ottman Azaitar rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Francisco Prado is a submission threat — 0.76 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Francisco Prado

Full career not yet synced for Francisco Prado — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Ottman Azaitar

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 23
Tier 3 — regional circuit 110

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.11 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 16 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2913.68/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
834.43/min · norm 3.42
3414.31/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
774.11/min · norm 3.37
43.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
44.6%norm 43.5%
54.2%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
52.5%norm 56.3%
10.19/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.80/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Francisco Prado

Distance 88.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 3.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.2% (norm 8.1%)

Ottman Azaitar

Distance 80.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 15.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.8% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Francisco Prado

Head 68.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.7% (norm 8.4%)

Ottman Azaitar

Head 74.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.4% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Prado L/AAccWelterweight med Azaitar L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 231 / 588 39.3% 38.6% 58 / 149 38.9% 37.9%
In the clinch 20 / 24 too few to rate 67.8% 17 / 28 60.7% 67.3%
On the ground 40 / 55 72.7% 67.2% 8 / 9 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 146 / 455 32.1% 37.2% 54 / 138 39.1% 35.0%
To the body 65 / 114 57.0% 70.7% 24 / 38 63.2% 69.1%
To the legs 80 / 98 81.6% 82.9% 5 / 10 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Prado L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Azaitar L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 282 / 665 42.4% 39.0% 44 / 119 37.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 33 / 42 78.6% 68.9% 9 / 12 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 26 / 38 68.4% 68.0% 24 / 31 77.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 216 / 588 36.7% 35.6% 57 / 124 46.0% 35.1%
To the body 90 / 119 75.6% 69.6% 12 / 24 too few to rate 68.1%
To the legs 35 / 38 92.1% 82.1% 8 / 14 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

419.0% acc · 0.76/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
640.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
5100.0% def · norm 64.0%
12:1915.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
0:171.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
17:123:15 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
1:030:50 per 15 · norm 2:46
40.76/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Prado has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.