BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Francisco Prado vs.
Jamie Mullarkey

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-5-0 Francisco Prado · UFC
6-7-0 Jamie Mullarkey · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-5-0
UFC record
6-7-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
24
AgeΔ 7 yrs
31
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
6'0"
69"
ReachΔ 5"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.8
Layoff (months)Δ 2.3 mo
6.1
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jamie Mullarkey hunts takedowns — 2.46 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Francisco Prado is a submission threat — 0.76 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Francisco Prado absorbs 4.31 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.06 Welterweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Francisco Prado

Full career not yet synced for Francisco Prado — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Jamie Mullarkey

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 67
Tier 3 — regional circuit 122

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.71 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2913.68/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
5004.10/min · norm 3.42
3414.31/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
5214.28/min · norm 3.37
43.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
46.6%norm 43.5%
54.2%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
54.4%norm 56.3%
10.19/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
20.25/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Francisco Prado

Distance 88.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 3.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.2% (norm 8.1%)

Jamie Mullarkey

Distance 89.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.6% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Francisco Prado

Head 68.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.7% (norm 8.4%)

Jamie Mullarkey

Head 71.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 13.4% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Prado L/AAccWelterweight med Mullarkey L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 231 / 588 39.3% 38.6% 429 / 963 44.5% 37.9%
In the clinch 20 / 24 too few to rate 67.8% 46 / 70 65.7% 67.3%
On the ground 40 / 55 72.7% 67.2% 25 / 39 64.1% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 146 / 455 32.1% 37.2% 259 / 766 33.8% 35.0%
To the body 65 / 114 57.0% 70.7% 109 / 162 67.3% 69.1%
To the legs 80 / 98 81.6% 82.9% 132 / 144 91.7% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Prado L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Mullarkey L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 282 / 665 42.4% 39.0% 428 / 1014 42.2% 38.9%
In the clinch 33 / 42 78.6% 68.9% 41 / 59 69.5% 68.6%
On the ground 26 / 38 68.4% 68.0% 52 / 70 74.3% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 216 / 588 36.7% 35.6% 347 / 893 38.9% 35.1%
To the body 90 / 119 75.6% 69.6% 101 / 169 59.8% 68.1%
To the legs 35 / 38 92.1% 82.1% 73 / 81 90.1% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

419.0% acc · 0.76/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
2030.8% acc · 2.46/15 · norm 1.38
640.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1270.6% def · norm 64.0%
12:1915.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
27:0722.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
17:123:15 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
5:580:44 per 15 · norm 2:46
40.76/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
10.12/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Mullarkey has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.