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Tony Ferguson vs. Paddy Pimblett

UFC 15-9-0 vs. 8-1-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
15-9-0
UFC record
8-1-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
42
AgeΔ 11 yrs
31
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
76"
ReachΔ 3"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
26.5
Layoff (months)Δ 23.2 mo
3.3
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Paddy Pimblett is a submission threat — 1.36 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.48 Lightweight norm.
Tony Ferguson is a submission threat — 0.88 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.48 Lightweight norm.
Tony Ferguson rarely shoots — 0.39 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Tony Ferguson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 159
Tier 3 — regional circuit 102

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.17 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Paddy Pimblett

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 81
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 113
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.68 · 19 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.4 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

13324.91/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
4845.48/min · norm 3.44
11864.37/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3413.86/min · norm 3.38
45.9%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
52.7%norm 43.65%
55.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
42.8%norm 56.3%
30.17/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.34/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Tony Ferguson

Distance 94.3% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 1.7% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 4.1% (norm 8.0%)

Paddy Pimblett

Distance 81.9% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 11.8% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Tony Ferguson

Head 75.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.4% (norm 8.0%)

Paddy Pimblett

Head 75.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.9% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Ferguson L/AAccLightweight med Pimblett L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1210 / 2738 44.2% 38.3% 367 / 752 48.8% 38.3%
In the clinch 31 / 49 63.3% 67.5% 37 / 58 63.8% 67.5%
On the ground 91 / 118 77.1% 68.8% 80 / 108 74.1% 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 800 / 2182 36.7% 35.1% 298 / 696 42.8% 35.1%
To the body 259 / 393 65.9% 69.1% 87 / 113 77.0% 69.1%
To the legs 273 / 330 82.7% 81.8% 99 / 109 90.8% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Ferguson L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Pimblett L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1028 / 2394 42.9% 38.8% 264 / 492 53.7% 38.8%
In the clinch 15 / 48 31.2% 68.6% 37 / 50 74.0% 68.6%
On the ground 143 / 216 66.2% 68.0% 40 / 54 74.1% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 790 / 2103 37.6% 35.2% 220 / 432 50.9% 35.2%
To the body 225 / 356 63.2% 68.2% 73 / 113 64.6% 68.2%
To the legs 171 / 199 85.9% 81.5% 48 / 51 94.1% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
735.0% acc · 0.39/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
421.1% acc · 0.68/15 · norm 1.34
3966.1% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
1346.4% def · norm 63.7%
8:002.9% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
18:2120.8% of cage time · norm 18.95%
63:463:31 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
23:454:01 per 15 · norm 2:50
160.88/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
81.36/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Ferguson has more cage time on record.