BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Santiago Luna vs.
Bryce Mitchell

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-1-0 Santiago Luna · UFC
10-3-0 Bryce Mitchell · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-1-0
UFC record
10-3-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
22
AgeΔ 9.8 yrs
31.8
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
74"
ReachΔ 4"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
2
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
2
LWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Bryce Mitchell owns the mat — in control 55% of cage time, vs a 17% Featherweight norm.
Santiago Luna is a submission threat — 0.92 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Santiago Luna carries real power — 0.92 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.30 Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Santiago Luna

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 21
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.41 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 9 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Bryce Mitchell

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 103
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.54 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1554.74/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
3372.19/min · norm 3.54
902.76/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
2321.51/min · norm 3.47
53.1%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
59.0%norm 45.0%
68.0%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
58.9%norm 54.85%
20.92/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
10.10/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Santiago Luna

Distance 84.9% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 12.0% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 3.1% (norm 6.5%)

Bryce Mitchell

Distance 67.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 25.7% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Santiago Luna

Head 77.7% (norm 77.4%) · Body 20.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.1% (norm 8.4%)

Bryce Mitchell

Head 64.4% (norm 77.4%) · Body 26.3% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 9.3% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Luna L/AAccBantamweight med Mitchell L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 120 / 248 48.4% 39.0% 188 / 384 49.0% 40.9%
In the clinch 27 / 35 77.1% 68.7% 30 / 40 75.0% 70.8%
On the ground 8 / 9 too few to rate 70.2% 119 / 147 81.0% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 114 / 227 50.2% 34.9% 192 / 368 52.2% 37.2%
To the body 35 / 59 59.3% 66.8% 100 / 150 66.7% 68.2%
To the legs 6 / 6 too few to rate 79.4% 45 / 53 84.9% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Luna L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Mitchell L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 74 / 263 28.1% 39.3% 167 / 471 35.5% 39.2%
In the clinch 12 / 14 too few to rate 70.4% 12 / 22 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 4 / 4 too few to rate 72.4% 53 / 72 73.6% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 59 / 238 24.8% 34.9% 145 / 434 33.4% 35.9%
To the body 26 / 35 74.3% 66.0% 57 / 95 60.0% 67.9%
To the legs 5 / 8 too few to rate 79.1% 30 / 36 83.3% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

571.4% acc · 2.30/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
3236.4% acc · 3.12/15 · norm 1.19
457.1% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
538.5% def · norm 61.5%
5:2416.5% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
84:3755.0% of cage time · norm 16.7%
12:305:44 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
23:302:17 per 15 · norm 3:12
20.92/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
131.27/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Mitchell has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.