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Michael Chandler vs. Tony Ferguson

UFC 2-6-0 vs. 15-9-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-6-0
UFC record
15-9-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
40
AgeΔ 2 yrs
42
5'8"
HeightΔ 3"
5'11"
71"
ReachΔ 5"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
4.2
Layoff (months)Δ 22.3 mo
26.5
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Tony Ferguson is a submission threat — 0.88 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.48 Lightweight norm.
Tony Ferguson rarely shoots — 0.39 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.
Opponents land 54% of their head shots on Michael Chandler, vs a 35% Lightweight norm — a hole in the guard.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Michael Chandler

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 2010
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.47 · 20 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 33 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +7.9 wins over .500

Tony Ferguson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 159
Tier 3 — regional circuit 102

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.17 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3183.85/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
13324.91/min · norm 3.44
3934.75/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
11864.37/min · norm 3.38
50.5%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
45.9%norm 43.65%
40.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
55.4%norm 56.3%
20.36/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
30.17/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Michael Chandler

Distance 82.1% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 1.0% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 17.0% (norm 8.0%)

Tony Ferguson

Distance 94.3% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 1.7% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 4.1% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Michael Chandler

Head 77.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 16.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 8.0%)

Tony Ferguson

Head 75.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.4% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Chandler L/AAccLightweight med Ferguson L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 235 / 517 45.5% 38.3% 1210 / 2738 44.2% 38.3%
In the clinch 6 / 6 too few to rate 67.5% 31 / 49 63.3% 67.5%
On the ground 77 / 107 72.0% 68.8% 91 / 118 77.1% 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 212 / 487 43.5% 35.1% 800 / 2182 36.7% 35.1%
To the body 73 / 104 70.2% 69.1% 259 / 393 65.9% 69.1%
To the legs 33 / 39 84.6% 81.8% 273 / 330 82.7% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Chandler L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Ferguson L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 299 / 542 55.2% 38.8% 1028 / 2394 42.9% 38.8%
In the clinch 18 / 22 too few to rate 68.6% 15 / 48 31.2% 68.6%
On the ground 76 / 101 75.2% 68.0% 143 / 216 66.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 283 / 521 54.3% 35.2% 790 / 2103 37.6% 35.2%
To the body 35 / 57 61.4% 68.2% 225 / 356 63.2% 68.2%
To the legs 75 / 87 86.2% 81.5% 171 / 199 85.9% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
936.0% acc · 1.63/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
735.0% acc · 0.39/15 · norm 1.34
956.3% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
3966.1% def · norm 63.7%
15:3218.8% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
8:002.9% of cage time · norm 18.95%
23:524:19 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
63:463:31 per 15 · norm 2:50
10.18/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
160.88/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Ferguson has more cage time on record.