BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Matthew Semelsberger vs.
Alex Morono

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-6-0 Matthew Semelsberger · UFC
13-10-0 (1 NC) Alex Morono · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-6-0
UFC record
13-10-0 (1 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
33
AgeΔ 2 yrs
35
6'1"
HeightΔ 2"
5'11"
75"
ReachΔ 3"
72"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
20.9
Layoff (months)Δ 15 mo
5.9
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Matthew Semelsberger carries real power — 1.26 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Alex Morono rarely shoots — 0.32 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Alex Morono absorbs 4.88 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.06 Welterweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Matthew Semelsberger

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 56
Tier 3 — regional circuit 62

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.55 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 19 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Alex Morono

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1310
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 72
Tier 3 — regional circuit 41

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.01 · 20 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 38 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4493.77/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
13964.90/min · norm 3.17
5044.24/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
13894.88/min · norm 3.06
43.0%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
39.8%norm 44.9%
54.1%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
55.4%norm 55.25%
101.26/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
50.26/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Matthew Semelsberger

Distance 85.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 9.3% (norm 8.1%)

Alex Morono

Distance 92.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 2.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Matthew Semelsberger

Head 78.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 8.4%)

Alex Morono

Head 88.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Semelsberger L/AAccWelterweight med Morono L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 359 / 897 40.0% 38.6% 1239 / 3242 38.2% 38.6%
In the clinch 36 / 51 70.6% 67.8% 101 / 172 58.7% 67.8%
On the ground 54 / 97 55.7% 67.2% 56 / 96 58.3% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 290 / 822 35.3% 37.2% 1114 / 3098 36.0% 37.2%
To the body 76 / 125 60.8% 70.7% 185 / 292 63.4% 70.7%
To the legs 83 / 98 84.7% 82.9% 97 / 120 80.8% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Semelsberger L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Morono L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 418 / 970 43.1% 39.0% 1196 / 2808 42.6% 39.0%
In the clinch 40 / 55 72.7% 68.9% 110 / 180 61.1% 68.9%
On the ground 46 / 74 62.2% 68.0% 83 / 125 66.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 353 / 908 38.9% 35.6% 691 / 2126 32.5% 35.6%
To the body 81 / 115 70.4% 69.6% 492 / 718 68.5% 69.6%
To the legs 70 / 76 92.1% 82.1% 206 / 269 76.6% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

857.1% acc · 1.01/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
624.0% acc · 0.32/15 · norm 1.27
1645.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2247.8% def · norm 63.9%
20:3017.2% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
15:595.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
27:413:29 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
37:451:59 per 15 · norm 3:15
30.38/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
60.32/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Morono has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.