BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Matt Schnell vs.
Alessandro Costa

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-9-0 (1 NC) Matt Schnell · UFC
5-3-0 Alessandro Costa · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-9-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
5-3-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
36.6
AgeΔ 6.1 yrs
30.5
5'8"
HeightΔ 4"
5'4"
70"
ReachΔ 3"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2
Layoff (months)Δ 1.1 mo
0.9
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Alessandro Costa carries real power — 0.85 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.18 Flyweight norm.
Matt Schnell is a submission threat — 1.18 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Matt Schnell rarely shoots — 0.59 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Matt Schnell

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 79
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 62
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.71 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Alessandro Costa

Full career not yet synced for Alessandro Costa — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5144.05/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
2773.94/min · norm 3.49
5304.18/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
2683.81/min · norm 3.24
40.3%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
49.3%norm 44.6%
54.5%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
54.3%norm 56.4%
10.12/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
40.85/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Matt Schnell

Distance 90.3% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 5.0% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 7.3%)

Alessandro Costa

Distance 84.3% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 5.2% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 10.5% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Matt Schnell

Head 84.2% (norm 75.9%) · Body 8.2% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 7.7% (norm 9.3%)

Alessandro Costa

Head 72.4% (norm 75.9%) · Body 13.3% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 14.2% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Schnell L/AAccFlyweight med Costa L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 426 / 1152 37.0% 40.0% 209 / 474 44.1% 40.0%
In the clinch 43 / 64 67.2% 70.4% 22 / 29 75.9% 70.4%
On the ground 45 / 60 75.0% 69.7% 46 / 59 78.0% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 370 / 1074 34.5% 37.6% 170 / 407 41.8% 37.6%
To the body 66 / 104 63.5% 68.5% 52 / 75 69.3% 68.5%
To the legs 78 / 98 79.6% 80.0% 55 / 80 68.8% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Schnell L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Costa L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 398 / 1007 39.5% 40.1% 209 / 511 40.9% 40.1%
In the clinch 48 / 65 73.8% 68.8% 27 / 31 87.1% 68.8%
On the ground 84 / 93 90.3% 71.1% 32 / 45 71.1% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 379 / 962 39.4% 35.2% 168 / 467 36.0% 35.2%
To the body 67 / 92 72.8% 68.2% 61 / 80 76.2% 68.2%
To the legs 84 / 111 75.7% 80.3% 39 / 40 97.5% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

545.5% acc · 0.59/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
426.7% acc · 0.85/15 · norm 1.30
1043.5% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
2385.2% def · norm 62.5%
8:326.7% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
6:359.4% of cage time · norm 17.0%
22:202:38 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
16:133:27 per 15 · norm 2:44
101.18/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
40.85/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Schnell has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.