BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Manvel Gamburyan vs.
Nate Diaz

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-8-0 (1 NC) Manvel Gamburyan · UFC
16-11-0 Nate Diaz · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-8-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
16-11-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
45
AgeΔ 4 yrs
41
5'5"
HeightΔ 7"
6'0"
67"
ReachΔ 9"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
116.5
Layoff (months)Δ 69.7 mo
46.8
LLWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Manvel Gamburyan hunts takedowns — 3.10 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Nate Diaz is a submission threat — 1.16 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Manvel Gamburyan is a submission threat — 0.83 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Manvel Gamburyan

Full career not yet synced for Manvel Gamburyan — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Nate Diaz

Full career not yet synced for Nate Diaz — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 10-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2821.94/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
15444.58/min · norm 3.42
4513.11/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
13484.00/min · norm 3.37
39.8%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
44.6%norm 43.5%
54.7%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
52.9%norm 56.3%
10.10/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
40.18/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Manvel Gamburyan

Distance 74.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 13.5% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 12.1% (norm 6.5%)

Nate Diaz

Distance 83.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 13.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Manvel Gamburyan

Head 81.0% (norm 77.4%) · Body 9.4% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 9.6% (norm 7.8%)

Nate Diaz

Head 83.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.1% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Gamburyan L/AAccFeatherweight med Diaz L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 177 / 527 33.6% 40.9% 1132 / 2883 39.3% 37.9%
In the clinch 66 / 96 68.8% 70.8% 342 / 477 71.7% 67.3%
On the ground 39 / 86 45.3% 69.2% 70 / 104 67.3% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 180 / 574 31.4% 37.2% 1146 / 2891 39.6% 35.0%
To the body 46 / 67 68.7% 68.2% 263 / 397 66.2% 69.1%
To the legs 56 / 68 82.4% 80.7% 135 / 176 76.7% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Gamburyan L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Diaz L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 290 / 771 37.6% 39.2% 874 / 2115 41.3% 38.9%
In the clinch 106 / 144 73.6% 70.3% 217 / 324 67.0% 68.6%
On the ground 55 / 80 68.8% 69.4% 257 / 420 61.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 259 / 756 34.3% 35.9% 772 / 2096 36.8% 35.1%
To the body 83 / 108 76.9% 67.9% 246 / 365 67.4% 68.1%
To the legs 109 / 131 83.2% 81.5% 330 / 398 82.9% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3032.6% acc · 3.10/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
1826.5% acc · 0.80/15 · norm 1.38
2569.4% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
4343.9% def · norm 64.0%
37:0225.5% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
47:1814.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
32:533:24 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
97:414:20 per 15 · norm 2:46
80.83/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
261.16/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Diaz has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.