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King Green vs. Tony Ferguson

UFC 17-13-1 (1 NC) vs. 15-9-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
17-13-1 (1 NC)
UFC record
15-9-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
40
AgeΔ 2 yrs
42
5'10"
HeightΔ 1"
5'11"
71"
ReachΔ 5"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
0.6
Layoff (months)Δ 25.9 mo
26.5
LWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
King Green outworks the Lightweight division — 6.59 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.44 norm.
Tony Ferguson is a submission threat — 0.88 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.48 Lightweight norm.
Tony Ferguson rarely shoots — 0.39 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

King Green

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1712
Tier 3 — regional circuit 175

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.85 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 53 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-12 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500

Tony Ferguson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 159
Tier 3 — regional circuit 102

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.17 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

21516.59/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
13324.91/min · norm 3.44
12273.76/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
11864.37/min · norm 3.38
53.6%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
45.9%norm 43.65%
61.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
55.4%norm 56.3%
70.32/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
30.17/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

King Green

Distance 87.4% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 5.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 7.3% (norm 8.0%)

Tony Ferguson

Distance 94.3% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 1.7% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 4.1% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

King Green

Head 70.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 18.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.2% (norm 8.0%)

Tony Ferguson

Head 75.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.4% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Green L/AAccLightweight med Ferguson L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1747 / 3505 49.8% 38.3% 1210 / 2738 44.2% 38.3%
In the clinch 182 / 212 85.8% 67.5% 31 / 49 63.3% 67.5%
On the ground 222 / 293 75.8% 68.8% 91 / 118 77.1% 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 1252 / 2815 44.5% 35.1% 800 / 2182 36.7% 35.1%
To the body 541 / 747 72.4% 69.1% 259 / 393 65.9% 69.1%
To the legs 358 / 448 79.9% 81.8% 273 / 330 82.7% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Green L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Ferguson L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1057 / 2910 36.3% 38.8% 1028 / 2394 42.9% 38.8%
In the clinch 73 / 127 57.5% 68.6% 15 / 48 31.2% 68.6%
On the ground 97 / 145 66.9% 68.0% 143 / 216 66.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 741 / 2402 30.8% 35.2% 790 / 2103 37.6% 35.2%
To the body 242 / 432 56.0% 68.2% 225 / 356 63.2% 68.2%
To the legs 244 / 348 70.1% 81.5% 171 / 199 85.9% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2745.0% acc · 1.24/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
735.0% acc · 0.39/15 · norm 1.34
5269.3% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
3966.1% def · norm 63.7%
46:1514.2% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
8:002.9% of cage time · norm 18.95%
29:381:21 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
63:463:31 per 15 · norm 2:50
60.28/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
160.88/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Green has more cage time on record.