BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

King Green vs.
Paddy Pimblett

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

17-12-1 (1 NC) King Green · UFC
8-1-0 Paddy Pimblett · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

17-12-1 (1 NC)
UFC record
8-1-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
39.9
AgeΔ 8.3 yrs
31.6
5'10"
HeightΔ 0"
5'10"
71"
ReachΔ 2"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
0.9
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
0.9
WWWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Paddy Pimblett is a submission threat — 1.36 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
King Green outworks the Lightweight division — 6.59 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.42 norm.
Paddy Pimblett outworks the Lightweight division — 5.48 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.42 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

King Green

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1712
Tier 3 — regional circuit 175

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.85 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 53 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500

Paddy Pimblett

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 81
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 113
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.68 · 19 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

21246.59/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
4845.48/min · norm 3.42
11923.70/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
3413.86/min · norm 3.37
53.6%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
52.7%norm 43.5%
61.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
42.8%norm 56.3%
70.33/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.34/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

King Green

Distance 87.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 7.4% (norm 8.0%)

Paddy Pimblett

Distance 81.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 11.8% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

King Green

Head 70.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 18.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.1% (norm 7.9%)

Paddy Pimblett

Head 75.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.9% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Green L/AAccLightweight med Pimblett L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1723 / 3459 49.8% 37.9% 367 / 752 48.8% 37.9%
In the clinch 179 / 209 85.6% 67.3% 37 / 58 63.8% 67.3%
On the ground 222 / 293 75.8% 69.1% 80 / 108 74.1% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 1241 / 2792 44.4% 35.0% 298 / 696 42.8% 35.0%
To the body 530 / 729 72.7% 69.1% 87 / 113 77.0% 69.1%
To the legs 353 / 440 80.2% 81.9% 99 / 109 90.8% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Green L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Pimblett L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1029 / 2854 36.1% 38.9% 264 / 492 53.7% 38.9%
In the clinch 73 / 125 58.4% 68.6% 37 / 50 74.0% 68.6%
On the ground 90 / 132 68.2% 68.0% 40 / 54 74.1% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 716 / 2346 30.5% 35.1% 220 / 432 50.9% 35.1%
To the body 238 / 426 55.9% 68.1% 73 / 113 64.6% 68.1%
To the legs 238 / 339 70.2% 81.5% 48 / 51 94.1% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2745.8% acc · 1.26/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
421.1% acc · 0.68/15 · norm 1.38
5269.3% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1346.4% def · norm 64.0%
46:1114.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
18:2120.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
29:071:21 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
23:454:01 per 15 · norm 2:46
60.28/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
81.36/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Green has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.