BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Josh Grispi vs.
Dustin Poirier

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-4-0 Josh Grispi · UFC
22-9-0 (1 NC) Dustin Poirier · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-4-0
UFC record
22-9-0 (1 NC)
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
37.8
AgeΔ 0.3 yrs
37.5
5'11"
HeightΔ 2"
5'9"
74"
ReachΔ 2"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
161.6
Layoff (months)Δ 149 mo
12.6
LLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Josh Grispi is a submission threat — 1.29 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Dustin Poirier carries real power — 0.65 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Dustin Poirier is a submission threat — 1.08 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Josh Grispi

Full career not yet synced for Josh Grispi — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.8 wins over .500

Dustin Poirier

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 229
Tier 3 — regional circuit 81

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.44 · 22 tier-1/2 wins · 23 finish wins over 41 documented bouts

In the UFC: 15-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

400.86/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
18615.34/min · norm 3.42
1904.09/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
16274.67/min · norm 3.37
37.4%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
50.0%norm 43.5%
44.3%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
52.3%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
150.65/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Josh Grispi

Distance 80.4% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 12.1% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 7.5% (norm 6.5%)

Dustin Poirier

Distance 81.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 11.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 7.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Josh Grispi

Head 64.5% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.8% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 18.7% (norm 7.8%)

Dustin Poirier

Head 87.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 6.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Grispi L/AAccFeatherweight med Poirier L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 30 / 86 34.9% 40.9% 1415 / 3044 46.5% 37.9%
In the clinch 5 / 13 too few to rate 70.8% 280 / 419 66.8% 67.3%
On the ground 5 / 8 too few to rate 69.2% 166 / 259 64.1% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 14 / 69 20.3% 37.2% 1490 / 3244 45.9% 35.0%
To the body 10 / 18 too few to rate 68.2% 182 / 249 73.1% 69.1%
To the legs 16 / 20 too few to rate 80.7% 189 / 229 82.5% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Grispi L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Poirier L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 65 / 142 45.8% 39.2% 1285 / 2951 43.5% 38.9%
In the clinch 58 / 102 56.9% 70.3% 197 / 277 71.1% 68.6%
On the ground 67 / 97 69.1% 69.4% 145 / 184 78.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 131 / 269 48.7% 35.9% 1048 / 2658 39.4% 35.1%
To the body 41 / 49 83.7% 67.9% 364 / 491 74.1% 68.1%
To the legs 18 / 23 too few to rate 81.5% 215 / 263 81.7% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

743.8% acc · 2.26/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
2835.9% acc · 1.21/15 · norm 1.38
125.0% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
5863.0% def · norm 64.0%
8:0017.2% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
70:0220.1% of cage time · norm 19.5%
29:309:31 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
70:423:02 per 15 · norm 2:46
41.29/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
251.08/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Poirier has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.