BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jordan Leavitt vs.
Matt Sayles

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-4-0 Jordan Leavitt · UFC
1-3-0 Matt Sayles · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-4-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
31.2
AgeΔ 1.3 yrs
32.5
5'9"
HeightΔ 2"
5'7"
71"
ReachΔ 3"
68"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
2
Layoff (months)Δ 53.6 mo
55.6
LWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jordan Leavitt is a submission threat — 1.05 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Jordan Leavitt hunts takedowns — 2.93 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Matt Sayles rarely shoots — 0.38 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jordan Leavitt

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 74
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.36 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Matt Sayles

Full career not yet synced for Matt Sayles — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1612.25/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
1674.21/min · norm 3.54
1171.63/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1142.87/min · norm 3.47
58.3%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
39.8%norm 45.0%
58.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
61.0%norm 54.85%
10.21/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jordan Leavitt

Distance 81.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 7.6% (norm 8.0%)

Matt Sayles

Distance 86.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 4.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 9.3% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jordan Leavitt

Head 36.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 31.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 32.2% (norm 7.9%)

Matt Sayles

Head 75.0% (norm 77.4%) · Body 14.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 10.5% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Leavitt L/AAccLightweight med Sayles L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 129 / 226 57.1% 37.9% 128 / 361 35.5% 40.9%
In the clinch 20 / 29 69.0% 67.3% 13 / 20 too few to rate 70.8%
On the ground 12 / 21 too few to rate 69.1% 26 / 39 66.7% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 40 / 101 39.6% 35.0% 88 / 315 27.9% 37.2%
To the body 41 / 86 47.7% 69.1% 46 / 61 75.4% 68.2%
To the legs 80 / 89 89.9% 81.9% 33 / 44 75.0% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Leavitt L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Sayles L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 79 / 238 33.2% 38.9% 96 / 266 36.1% 39.2%
In the clinch 12 / 13 too few to rate 68.6% 12 / 19 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 26 / 34 76.5% 68.0% 6 / 7 too few to rate 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 44 / 169 26.0% 35.1% 58 / 213 27.2% 35.9%
To the body 55 / 70 78.6% 68.1% 50 / 71 70.4% 67.9%
To the legs 18 / 46 39.1% 81.5% 6 / 8 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1429.2% acc · 2.93/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
125.0% acc · 0.38/15 · norm 1.19
330.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1781.0% def · norm 61.5%
28:3139.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
5:0913.0% of cage time · norm 16.7%
19:324:05 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
10:374:00 per 15 · norm 3:12
51.05/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
20.76/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Leavitt has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.