Joel Alvarez vs.
Vicente Luque
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Joel Alvarez
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 8 | 3 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 15 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.46 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 27 documented bouts
In the UFC: 6-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500
Vicente Luque
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 17 | 8 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 7 | 4 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.18 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 21 finish wins over 37 documented bouts
In the UFC: 12-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Joel Alvarez
Distance 82.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.4% (norm 8.0%)
Vicente Luque
Distance 92.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 3.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 4.5% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Joel Alvarez
Head 79.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.0% (norm 7.9%)
Vicente Luque
Head 74.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 15.3% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Alvarez L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Luque L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 286 / 577 | 49.6% | 37.9% | 1003 / 2052 | 48.9% | 38.6% |
| In the clinch | 44 / 54 | 81.5% | 67.3% | 62 / 77 | 80.5% | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 54 / 73 | 74.0% | 69.1% | 70 / 101 | 69.3% | 67.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 265 / 557 | 47.6% | 35.0% | 687 / 1671 | 41.1% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 76 / 98 | 77.6% | 69.1% | 153 / 218 | 70.2% | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 43 / 49 | 87.8% | 81.9% | 295 / 341 | 86.5% | 82.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Alvarez L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Luque L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 213 / 496 | 42.9% | 38.9% | 998 / 2212 | 45.1% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 5 / 8 | too few to rate | 68.6% | 140 / 192 | 72.9% | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 39 / 53 | 73.6% | 68.0% | 103 / 160 | 64.4% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 129 / 366 | 35.2% | 35.1% | 932 / 2170 | 42.9% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 62 / 107 | 57.9% | 68.1% | 177 / 244 | 72.5% | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 66 / 84 | 78.6% | 81.5% | 132 / 150 | 88.0% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Luque has more cage time on record.