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Joel Alvarez vs. Joe Duffy

UFC 8-4-0 vs. 4-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
8-4-0
UFC record
4-4-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
33
AgeΔ 5 yrs
38
6'3"
HeightΔ 5"
5'10"
77"
ReachΔ 4"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2.2
Layoff (months)Δ 72.9 mo
75.1
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Joe Duffy carries real power — 0.48 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Joel Alvarez rarely shoots — 0.15 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.
Joel Alvarez is a submission threat — 0.90 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.48 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Joel Alvarez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 83
Tier 3 — regional circuit 151

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.46 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Joe Duffy

Full career not yet synced for Joe Duffy — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4584.59/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
1682.68/min · norm 3.44
4124.13/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
2373.78/min · norm 3.38
52.8%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
34.4%norm 43.65%
47.6%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
54.6%norm 56.3%
10.15/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.48/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Joel Alvarez

Distance 85.0% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 6.6% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 8.4% (norm 8.0%)

Joe Duffy

Distance 92.2% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 4.1% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 3.7% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Joel Alvarez

Head 78.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 14.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.8% (norm 8.0%)

Joe Duffy

Head 84.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Alvarez L/AAccLightweight med Duffy L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 358 / 738 48.5% 38.3% 143 / 451 31.7% 38.3%
In the clinch 46 / 57 80.7% 67.5% 13 / 20 too few to rate 67.5%
On the ground 54 / 73 74.0% 68.8% 12 / 18 too few to rate 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 302 / 677 44.6% 35.1% 110 / 411 26.8% 35.1%
To the body 95 / 123 77.2% 69.1% 35 / 52 67.3% 69.1%
To the legs 61 / 68 89.7% 81.8% 23 / 26 88.5% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Alvarez L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Duffy L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 362 / 718 50.4% 38.8% 173 / 426 40.6% 38.8%
In the clinch 11 / 15 too few to rate 68.6% 30 / 45 66.7% 68.6%
On the ground 39 / 53 73.6% 68.0% 34 / 51 66.7% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 180 / 466 38.6% 35.2% 137 / 387 35.4% 35.2%
To the body 118 / 183 64.5% 68.2% 50 / 71 70.4% 68.2%
To the legs 114 / 137 83.2% 81.5% 50 / 64 78.1% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
133.3% acc · 0.15/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
466.7% acc · 0.96/15 · norm 1.34
1448.3% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
1664.0% def · norm 63.7%
9:369.6% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
5:589.5% of cage time · norm 18.95%
21:193:12 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
15:573:49 per 15 · norm 2:50
60.90/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
30.72/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Alvarez has more cage time on record.