BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jeremiah Wells vs.
Myktybek Orolbai

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-2-0 Jeremiah Wells · UFC
5-1-0 Myktybek Orolbai · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-2-0
UFC record
5-1-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
39.8
AgeΔ 11.3 yrs
28.5
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
74"
ReachΔ 0"
74"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
9.1
Layoff (months)Δ 4.4 mo
4.7
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Myktybek Orolbai hunts takedowns — 8.77 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Jeremiah Wells is a submission threat — 1.31 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Myktybek Orolbai owns the mat — in control 54% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jeremiah Wells

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 52
Tier 3 — regional circuit 82

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.09 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Myktybek Orolbai

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 51
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 30
Tier 3 — regional circuit 71

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.54 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1612.35/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
1712.78/min · norm 3.17
881.28/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1662.70/min · norm 3.06
46.0%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
50.0%norm 44.9%
48.2%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
51.0%norm 55.25%
20.44/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
20.49/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jeremiah Wells

Distance 65.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 2.3% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 32.3% (norm 8.1%)

Myktybek Orolbai

Distance 76.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 2.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 21.3% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jeremiah Wells

Head 89.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 2.3% (norm 8.4%)

Myktybek Orolbai

Head 82.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 8.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Wells L/AAccWelterweight med Orolbai L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 85 / 229 37.1% 38.6% 114 / 262 43.5% 38.6%
In the clinch 5 / 8 too few to rate 67.8% 6 / 7 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 71 / 113 62.8% 67.2% 51 / 73 69.9% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 133 / 313 42.5% 37.2% 128 / 283 45.2% 37.2%
To the body 24 / 29 82.8% 70.7% 22 / 31 71.0% 70.7%
To the legs 4 / 8 too few to rate 82.9% 21 / 28 75.0% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Wells L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Orolbai L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 69 / 144 47.9% 39.0% 122 / 285 42.8% 39.0%
In the clinch 10 / 11 too few to rate 68.9% 19 / 25 76.0% 68.9%
On the ground 9 / 15 too few to rate 68.0% 25 / 29 86.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 48 / 125 38.4% 35.6% 101 / 258 39.1% 35.6%
To the body 29 / 33 87.9% 69.6% 34 / 46 73.9% 69.6%
To the legs 11 / 12 too few to rate 82.1% 31 / 35 88.6% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1446.7% acc · 3.06/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
3659.0% acc · 8.77/15 · norm 1.27
750.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
440.0% def · norm 63.9%
36:2253.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
32:5953.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
9:262:03 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
5:391:22 per 15 · norm 3:15
61.31/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
20.49/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Wells has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.