BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jared Rollins vs.
War Machine

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-1-0 Jared Rollins · UFC
1-1-0 War Machine · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-1-0
UFC record
1-1-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
49
AgeΔ 5 yrs
44
5'9"
HeightΔ 2"
5'11"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
223.9
Layoff (months)Δ 5.5 mo
218.4
L
Last 5 (newest first)
LW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jared Rollins carries real power — 1.25 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
War Machine owns the mat — in control 56% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Jared Rollins is a submission threat — 1.25 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jared Rollins

Full career not yet synced for Jared Rollins — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

War Machine

Full career not yet synced for War Machine — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

403.33/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
302.32/min · norm 3.17
292.41/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
413.17/min · norm 3.06
57.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
60.0%norm 44.9%
39.6%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
43.8%norm 55.25%
11.25/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jared Rollins

Distance 15.7% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 8.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 75.7% (norm 8.1%)

War Machine

Distance 22.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 0.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 78.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jared Rollins

Head 100.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 0.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 8.4%)

War Machine

Head 94.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 4.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 2.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rollins L/AAccWelterweight med Machine L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 3 / 11 too few to rate 38.6% 4 / 11 too few to rate 38.6%
In the clinch 5 / 6 too few to rate 67.8% 0 / 0 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 32 / 53 60.4% 67.2% 26 / 39 66.7% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 40 / 70 57.1% 37.2% 27 / 47 57.4% 37.2%
To the body 0 / 0 too few to rate 70.7% 2 / 2 too few to rate 70.7%
To the legs 0 / 0 too few to rate 82.9% 1 / 1 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rollins L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Machine L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 3 / 9 too few to rate 39.0% 4 / 14 too few to rate 39.0%
In the clinch 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.9% 5 / 6 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 26 / 39 66.7% 68.0% 32 / 53 60.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 27 / 46 58.7% 35.6% 41 / 73 56.2% 35.6%
To the body 2 / 2 too few to rate 69.6% 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.6%
To the legs 0 / 0 too few to rate 82.1% 0 / 0 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

250.0% acc · 2.50/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
150.0% acc · 1.16/15 · norm 1.27
150.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
240.0% def · norm 63.9%
3:4130.7% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
7:1355.7% of cage time · norm 18.5%
7:139:00 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
4:195:00 per 15 · norm 3:15
11.25/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Machine has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.