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Ian Machado Garry vs. Geoff Neal

UFC 10-2-0 vs. 8-6-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
10-2-0
UFC record
8-6-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
28
AgeΔ 8 yrs
36
6'3"
HeightΔ 4"
5'11"
74"
ReachΔ 1"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
2.2
Layoff (months)Δ 5.7 mo
7.9
LWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Geoff Neal carries real power — 0.87 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Geoff Neal absorbs 5.56 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.08 Welterweight norm — hittable.
Ian Machado Garry rarely shoots — 0.80 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Ian Machado Garry

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 101
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.11 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.9 wins over .500

Geoff Neal

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 96
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 30
Tier 3 — regional circuit 42

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.07 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8044.29/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
6875.00/min · norm 3.17
4862.59/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
7645.56/min · norm 3.08
53.7%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
50.7%norm 44.75%
52.8%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
57.0%norm 55.25%
40.32/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
80.87/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ian Machado Garry

Distance 92.5% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 8.1%)

Geoff Neal

Distance 86.9% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 8.0% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 5.1% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ian Machado Garry

Head 70.8% (norm 78.3%) · Body 14.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.7% (norm 8.0%)

Geoff Neal

Head 90.5% (norm 78.3%) · Body 6.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.5% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Garry L/AAccWelterweight med Neal L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 726 / 1386 52.4% 38.5% 566 / 1177 48.1% 38.5%
In the clinch 45 / 64 70.3% 67.8% 72 / 108 66.7% 67.8%
On the ground 33 / 48 68.8% 67.0% 49 / 69 71.0% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 444 / 1060 41.9% 36.4% 585 / 1225 47.8% 36.4%
To the body 164 / 218 75.2% 70.7% 58 / 82 70.7% 70.7%
To the legs 196 / 220 89.1% 83.0% 44 / 47 93.6% 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Garry L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Neal L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 418 / 932 44.8% 39.1% 684 / 1658 41.3% 39.1%
In the clinch 40 / 59 67.8% 68.9% 73 / 104 70.2% 68.9%
On the ground 28 / 38 73.7% 68.0% 7 / 13 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 255 / 731 34.9% 35.6% 477 / 1409 33.9% 35.6%
To the body 99 / 137 72.3% 69.6% 208 / 280 74.3% 69.6%
To the legs 132 / 161 82.0% 82.2% 79 / 86 91.9% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1031.3% acc · 0.80/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
545.5% acc · 0.55/15 · norm 1.31
3271.1% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2689.7% def · norm 63.9%
19:2410.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
19:5514.5% of cage time · norm 18.5%
42:593:26 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
7:280:48 per 15 · norm 3:15
40.32/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
10.11/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Neal has more cage time on record.