Ian Machado Garry vs.
Geoff Neal
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Ian Machado Garry
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 10 | 1 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 7 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 2.11 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 18 documented bouts
In the UFC: 8-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.9 wins over .500
Geoff Neal
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 9 | 6 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 3 | 0 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 4 | 2 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.07 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 24 documented bouts
In the UFC: 6-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Ian Machado Garry
Distance 92.7% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 3.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 3.3% (norm 8.1%)
Geoff Neal
Distance 86.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 8.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.1% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Ian Machado Garry
Head 71.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.8% (norm 8.4%)
Geoff Neal
Head 90.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 6.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.5% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Garry L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Neal L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 704 / 1329 | 53.0% | 38.6% | 566 / 1177 | 48.1% | 38.6% |
| In the clinch | 38 / 56 | 67.9% | 67.8% | 72 / 108 | 66.7% | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 33 / 48 | 68.8% | 67.2% | 49 / 69 | 71.0% | 67.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 437 / 1020 | 42.8% | 37.2% | 585 / 1225 | 47.8% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 148 / 201 | 73.6% | 70.7% | 58 / 82 | 70.7% | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 190 / 212 | 89.6% | 82.9% | 44 / 47 | 93.6% | 82.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Garry L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Neal L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 403 / 896 | 45.0% | 39.0% | 684 / 1658 | 41.3% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 34 / 52 | 65.4% | 68.9% | 73 / 104 | 70.2% | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 27 / 37 | 73.0% | 68.0% | 7 / 13 | too few to rate | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 246 / 700 | 35.1% | 35.6% | 477 / 1409 | 33.9% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 96 / 134 | 71.6% | 69.6% | 208 / 280 | 74.3% | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 122 / 151 | 80.8% | 82.1% | 79 / 86 | 91.9% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Neal has more cage time on record.