BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Felipe Bunes vs.
Rafael Estevam

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Felipe Bunes · UFC
3-1-0 Rafael Estevam · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
3-1-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
36.8
AgeΔ 6.8 yrs
30
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
69"
ReachΔ 0"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5.2
Layoff (months)Δ 1.1 mo
4.1
LLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rafael Estevam hunts takedowns — 5.02 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Rafael Estevam owns the mat — in control 52% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Felipe Bunes is a submission threat — 1.44 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Felipe Bunes

Full career not yet synced for Felipe Bunes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Rafael Estevam

Full career not yet synced for Rafael Estevam — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1323.17/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
1061.87/min · norm 3.49
1904.57/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
2474.35/min · norm 3.24
46.2%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
32.3%norm 44.6%
47.4%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
45.0%norm 56.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Felipe Bunes

Distance 97.9% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 2.1% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 7.3%)

Rafael Estevam

Distance 91.5% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 2.4% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 6.1% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Felipe Bunes

Head 78.7% (norm 75.9%) · Body 12.9% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 8.4% (norm 9.3%)

Rafael Estevam

Head 80.2% (norm 75.9%) · Body 12.5% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 7.3% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Bunes L/AAccFlyweight med Estevam L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 128 / 280 45.7% 40.0% 89 / 300 29.7% 40.0%
In the clinch 4 / 6 too few to rate 70.4% 5 / 8 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.7% 12 / 20 too few to rate 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 90 / 225 40.0% 37.6% 73 / 263 27.8% 37.6%
To the body 21 / 37 56.8% 68.5% 19 / 41 46.3% 68.5%
To the legs 21 / 24 too few to rate 80.0% 14 / 24 too few to rate 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Bunes L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Estevam L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 156 / 316 49.4% 40.1% 216 / 397 54.4% 40.1%
In the clinch 11 / 15 too few to rate 68.8% 27 / 46 58.7% 68.8%
On the ground 23 / 30 76.7% 71.1% 4 / 6 too few to rate 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 129 / 278 46.4% 35.2% 167 / 351 47.6% 35.2%
To the body 41 / 60 68.3% 68.2% 56 / 70 80.0% 68.2%
To the legs 20 / 23 too few to rate 80.3% 24 / 28 85.7% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

325.0% acc · 1.08/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
1932.8% acc · 5.02/15 · norm 1.30
440.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
466.7% def · norm 62.5%
6:0614.7% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
29:2751.9% of cage time · norm 17.0%
12:444:35 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
2:220:37 per 15 · norm 2:44
41.44/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
10.26/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Bunes has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.