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Bantamweight · “Macapa”

Rafael Estevam

3-1-0
Smothering Control Wrestler
5'8"Height
69"Reach
OrthodoxStance
30Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
14:11Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 against every UFC veteran · the rim is reserved for specialists, and only efficiency opens it
Striking — Weak, rated 11.1 of 100 Accuracy — Weak, rated 5.5 of 100 Striking D — Weak, rated 16.0 of 100 Durability — Below avg, rated 33.8 of 100 Wrestling — Above avg, rated 77.8 of 100 TD Defense — Average, rated 64.8 of 100 Grappling — Average, rated 45.0 of 100 Control — Above avg, rated 77.8 of 100 Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Duncan · March 29, 2026 watch ↗
grappling good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Duncan · March 29, 2026 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 1 read
grappling good 1 read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

Built on 56 minutes of tracked cage time across 4 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Smothering Control 52% of every fight spent in control position
Wrestler above avg wrestling — rates 78 of 100 among UFC veterans
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min1.87
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.35
Striking accuracy32.3%
Striking defense45.0%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min5.02
Takedown accuracy32.8%
Takedown defense66.7%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.26
Control time51.9%
Record vs .500+ opponents1-1

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
Ethyn Ewing favored — picked against Rafael Estevam coinflip UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Duncan · March 29, 2026
strikinggood grapplinggood

Picked against on an explicit scoring-mechanics read -- the analyst frames the fight as decided by how much of each round is spent on the feet versus fighting back up from a takedown.

Undefeated. Good enough striker -- plenty of power, really good kicks with the teep his best, and a lot of output, though he loops his punches, a real cost in an extended pure striking battle. The real strength is the grappling -- can genuinely chain takedowns together, mixing trips and slams fluidly, with really good transitions working a leg-lace-based process toward mount. A real, specific technical flaw when taking the back: tends to climb a little too high, giving an opponent who turns over and gets their hips up a real chance to scramble back to their feet.

Strengthreally good kicks, especially the teep
Strengthchains takedowns fluidly between trips and slams
Strengthreally good transitions working toward mount via a leg lace
Weaknessloops his punches, a cost in extended standing exchanges
Weaknessclimbs too high taking the back, giving up a real scramble-out opportunity

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 4 fights · green = win
November 18, 2023 vs Charles Johnson — 1.2/min (W) Nov '23 February 15, 2025 vs Jesus Aguilar — 0.73/min (W) Feb '25 August 2, 2025 vs Felipe Bunes — 2.2/min (W) Aug '25 April 4, 2026 vs Ethyn Ewing — 3.75/min (L) Apr '26

Fight history

4 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Ethyn Ewing 1-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 1:44 — UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · April 4, 2026
44/185Sig. strikes
114/197Absorbed
0/8Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Felipe Bunes 1-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · August 2, 2025
33/70Sig. strikes
26/56Absorbed
5/9Takedowns
10:42Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Jesus Aguilar 3-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · February 15, 2025
11/30Sig. strikes
35/87Absorbed
11/19Takedowns
9:22Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Charles Johnson 13-5 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · November 18, 2023
18/43Sig. strikes
72/109Absorbed
3/22Takedowns
9:23Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
3-1-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 3
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 4

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 124 qualified Bantamweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 1.9 avg 3.7
Strikes absorbed /min 4.3 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 32.3% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 45.0% avg 56.4%
Takedowns /15 min 5.0 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 32.8% avg 36.9%
Takedown defense 66.7% avg 62.8%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.3 avg 0.5
Control time 51.9% avg 19.4%
Finish rate 0.0% avg 48.2%