Rafael Estevam vs.
Charles Johnson
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Rafael Estevam
Full career not yet synced for Rafael Estevam — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500
Charles Johnson
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 8 | 7 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 6 | 1 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 5 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.07 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 28 documented bouts
In the UFC: 5-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Rafael Estevam
Distance 91.5% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 2.4% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 6.1% (norm 7.3%)
Charles Johnson
Distance 86.6% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 10.0% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 3.4% (norm 7.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Rafael Estevam
Head 80.2% (norm 75.9%) · Body 12.5% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 7.3% (norm 9.3%)
Charles Johnson
Head 65.1% (norm 75.9%) · Body 21.5% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 13.4% (norm 9.3%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Estevam L/A | Acc | Flyweight med | Johnson L/A | Acc | Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 89 / 300 | 29.7% | 40.0% | 706 / 1509 | 46.8% | 40.0% |
| In the clinch | 5 / 8 | too few to rate | 70.4% | 123 / 175 | 70.3% | 70.4% |
| On the ground | 12 / 20 | too few to rate | 69.7% | 39 / 59 | 66.1% | 69.7% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 73 / 263 | 27.8% | 37.6% | 432 / 1135 | 38.1% | 37.6% |
| To the body | 19 / 41 | 46.3% | 68.5% | 255 / 374 | 68.2% | 68.5% |
| To the legs | 14 / 24 | too few to rate | 80.0% | 181 / 234 | 77.4% | 80.0% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Estevam L/A | Opp acc | Flyweight med | vs Johnson L/A | Opp acc | Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 216 / 397 | 54.4% | 40.1% | 662 / 1540 | 43.0% | 40.1% |
| In the clinch | 27 / 46 | 58.7% | 68.8% | 56 / 87 | 64.4% | 68.8% |
| On the ground | 4 / 6 | too few to rate | 71.1% | 24 / 34 | 70.6% | 71.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 167 / 351 | 47.6% | 35.2% | 403 / 1190 | 33.9% | 35.2% |
| To the body | 56 / 70 | 80.0% | 68.2% | 174 / 267 | 65.2% | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 24 / 28 | 85.7% | 80.3% | 165 / 204 | 80.9% | 80.3% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Johnson has more cage time on record.