BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Carlos Hernandez vs.
Rei Tsuruya

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-4-0 Carlos Hernandez · UFC
2-1-0 Rei Tsuruya · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-4-0
UFC record
2-1-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
32.8
AgeΔ 8.7 yrs
24.1
5'8"
HeightΔ 2"
5'6"
67"
ReachΔ 1"
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
14.7
Layoff (months)Δ 12.5 mo
2.2
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rei Tsuruya hunts takedowns — 3.60 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Rei Tsuruya owns the mat — in control 37% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Carlos Hernandez hunts takedowns — 1.89 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Carlos Hernandez

Full career not yet synced for Carlos Hernandez — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Rei Tsuruya

Full career not yet synced for Rei Tsuruya — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2553.56/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
661.98/min · norm 3.49
2513.51/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
762.28/min · norm 3.24
44.7%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
46.2%norm 44.6%
50.7%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
42.0%norm 56.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Carlos Hernandez

Distance 85.8% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 11.6% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 2.6% (norm 7.3%)

Rei Tsuruya

Distance 72.0% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 2.8% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 25.2% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Carlos Hernandez

Head 84.0% (norm 75.9%) · Body 10.4% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 5.6% (norm 9.3%)

Rei Tsuruya

Head 93.7% (norm 75.9%) · Body 4.9% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 1.4% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Hernandez L/AAccFlyweight med Tsuruya L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 196 / 489 40.1% 40.0% 37 / 103 35.9% 40.0%
In the clinch 45 / 66 68.2% 70.4% 2 / 4 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 14 / 15 too few to rate 69.7% 27 / 36 75.0% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 182 / 479 38.0% 37.6% 60 / 134 44.8% 37.6%
To the body 44 / 59 74.6% 68.5% 4 / 7 too few to rate 68.5%
To the legs 29 / 32 90.6% 80.0% 2 / 2 too few to rate 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Hernandez L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Tsuruya L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 187 / 416 45.0% 40.1% 62 / 115 53.9% 40.1%
In the clinch 23 / 35 65.7% 68.8% 9 / 10 too few to rate 68.8%
On the ground 41 / 58 70.7% 71.1% 5 / 6 too few to rate 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 139 / 378 36.8% 35.2% 46 / 97 47.4% 35.2%
To the body 87 / 103 84.5% 68.2% 24 / 28 85.7% 68.2%
To the legs 25 / 28 89.3% 80.3% 6 / 6 too few to rate 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

926.5% acc · 1.89/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
825.0% acc · 3.60/15 · norm 1.30
1664.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
150.0% def · norm 62.5%
12:0917.0% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
12:2537.3% of cage time · norm 17.0%
15:023:08 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
5:192:23 per 15 · norm 2:44
00.00/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
10.45/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Hernandez has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.