Rei Tsuruya

Calls the bout genuinely hard to project but ultimately leans toward him getting the fight to the mat, rather than committing to a confident read.

A grappling-first fighter with almost no interest in striking, whose entire game plan is to get the fight down early and keep it there for as long as possible.

Picked clearly, with the analyst going as far as to give specific scorecard numbers for a decision win built on dominating the first two rounds.

Striking is minimal, functional only, purely to close the distance to the grappling. Very good, relentless grappler with an explosive, fast start -- relentless takedown volume, shooting until he lands one, a good shot that gets to the legs well, pretty good wrestling overall, good scrambling, and excellent work advancing position. Ground-and-pound volume tends to be good once he's there, though the analyst notes some opponents who are hard to control can blunt that.