Bryce Mitchell vs.
Matt Sayles
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Bryce Mitchell
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 10 | 3 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 1 | 0 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 8 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.54 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 22 documented bouts
In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500
Matt Sayles
Full career not yet synced for Matt Sayles — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Bryce Mitchell
Distance 67.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 25.7% (norm 6.5%)
Matt Sayles
Distance 86.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 4.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 9.3% (norm 6.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Bryce Mitchell
Head 64.4% (norm 77.4%) · Body 26.3% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 9.3% (norm 7.8%)
Matt Sayles
Head 75.0% (norm 77.4%) · Body 14.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 10.5% (norm 7.8%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Mitchell L/A | Acc | Featherweight med | Sayles L/A | Acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 188 / 384 | 49.0% | 40.9% | 128 / 361 | 35.5% | 40.9% |
| In the clinch | 30 / 40 | 75.0% | 70.8% | 13 / 20 | too few to rate | 70.8% |
| On the ground | 119 / 147 | 81.0% | 69.2% | 26 / 39 | 66.7% | 69.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 192 / 368 | 52.2% | 37.2% | 88 / 315 | 27.9% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 100 / 150 | 66.7% | 68.2% | 46 / 61 | 75.4% | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 45 / 53 | 84.9% | 80.7% | 33 / 44 | 75.0% | 80.7% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Mitchell L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med | vs Sayles L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 167 / 471 | 35.5% | 39.2% | 96 / 266 | 36.1% | 39.2% |
| In the clinch | 12 / 22 | too few to rate | 70.3% | 12 / 19 | too few to rate | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 53 / 72 | 73.6% | 69.4% | 6 / 7 | too few to rate | 69.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 145 / 434 | 33.4% | 35.9% | 58 / 213 | 27.2% | 35.9% |
| To the body | 57 / 95 | 60.0% | 67.9% | 50 / 71 | 70.4% | 67.9% |
| To the legs | 30 / 36 | 83.3% | 81.5% | 6 / 8 | too few to rate | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Mitchell has more cage time on record.