Sam Patterson

Picked on the reasoning that his grappling advantage should be decisive if the fight goes to the mat, with the analyst saying that's the whole case for him.

A good striker with good combinations and good power, though he keeps a 'tall man' defense that leaves his chin exposed and up for grabs -- flagged as the likely reason he loses if he does. The real advantage is grappling: good control, very long limbs that help pin an opponent's posts, a really good choke arsenal, and a preference for sweeping or standing back up rather than playing guard passively, plus surprisingly good cardio for a bigger welterweight.

Picked confidently on his striking versatility and takedown defense forcing a kickboxing match he's built to win, with the weight cut flagged as the one real variable.

Patterson is a legitimate combination puncher with real thump on his lead hook, and he has enough on the mat — long limbs, good control, a genuine choke game — to be a problem if this fight hits the floor. The issue is he tends to give up range against opponents who lean back away from him, and against a takedown-defense specialist, this is realistically going to be settled on the feet, which favors the other side.