BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Sam Patterson vs.
Yanal Ashmouz

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-2-0 Sam Patterson · UFC
2-2-0 Yanal Ashmouz · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-2-0
UFC record
2-2-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
30.3
AgeΔ 1.1 yrs
31.4
6'3"
HeightΔ 6"
5'9"
78"
ReachΔ 9"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
0.4
Layoff (months)Δ 13.6 mo
14
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Sam Patterson carries real power — 1.27 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Yanal Ashmouz hunts takedowns — 3.24 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Sam Patterson is a submission threat — 0.85 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Sam Patterson

Full career not yet synced for Sam Patterson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Yanal Ashmouz

Full career not yet synced for Yanal Ashmouz — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1353.81/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
1332.88/min · norm 3.42
992.80/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
2214.78/min · norm 3.37
42.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
50.8%norm 43.5%
61.0%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
50.2%norm 56.3%
31.27/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Sam Patterson

Distance 95.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 1.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 3.7% (norm 8.1%)

Yanal Ashmouz

Distance 74.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 14.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.7% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Sam Patterson

Head 86.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.7% (norm 8.4%)

Yanal Ashmouz

Head 75.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.7% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Patterson L/AAccWelterweight med Ashmouz L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 125 / 305 41.0% 38.6% 77 / 195 39.5% 37.9%
In the clinch 2 / 4 too few to rate 67.8% 33 / 39 84.6% 67.3%
On the ground 8 / 12 too few to rate 67.2% 23 / 28 82.1% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 111 / 277 40.1% 37.2% 86 / 198 43.4% 35.0%
To the body 15 / 29 51.7% 70.7% 24 / 36 66.7% 69.1%
To the legs 9 / 15 too few to rate 82.9% 23 / 28 82.1% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Patterson L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Ashmouz L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 86 / 238 36.1% 39.0% 183 / 388 47.2% 38.9%
In the clinch 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.9% 25 / 36 69.4% 68.6%
On the ground 13 / 16 too few to rate 68.0% 13 / 20 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 65 / 197 33.0% 35.6% 138 / 341 40.5% 35.1%
To the body 10 / 20 too few to rate 69.6% 59 / 70 84.3% 68.1%
To the legs 24 / 37 64.9% 82.1% 24 / 33 72.7% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

250.0% acc · 0.85/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1038.5% acc · 3.24/15 · norm 1.38
150.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1864.3% def · norm 64.0%
4:3512.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
10:3122.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
0:530:22 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
8:532:52 per 15 · norm 2:46
20.85/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Patterson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.