Rodolfo Bellato

Picked against, though the analyst credits him a couple of real moments where a single bomb could change the fight.

Passable striker -- his front kick and middle knee are effective, his calf kick works, and there's fair pop in his hands, but he tends to throw one shot at a time and his defense is genuinely poor. He bounces back quickly, and there's a career trend behind it: most of his victories come after he gets rocked hard early, weathers the storm, and then finishes his opponent once they've exhausted themselves trying to put him away. He's a solid enough grappler -- he doesn't generate many open-space takedowns, but once the fight hits the mat he's effective: strong top pressure, active submission attempts, busy off his back, and reasonably capable of controlling opponents against the cage as well.

Picks Fernandez fairly confidently as the more well-rounded of two similar games, while flagging Bellato's habit of surviving apparent finishes as the main wildcard.

A striker who mixes in a solid front kick and knee up the middle with real power, but relies too heavily on single shots and has genuinely poor defense. The separating trait is an almost unbelievable ability to absorb brutal punishment and keep coming back, having been dropped to the brink repeatedly and recovered anyway. On the ground his takedowns aren't the strongest part of his arsenal, but he presses well from the clinch against the cage, brings good top pressure when he lands there, stays active attacking submissions, and is a live threat working off his back too.